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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds ground above $1,930, central banks decisions eyed

  • Gold price maintains a position above $1,930 to extend gains ahead of policy decisions from major central banks.
  • US Dollar (USD) weakens on the possibility of no interest rate hike by the Fed in September; bolstering the prices of Gold.
  • Fed is expected to attempt a 25 basis points interest rate hike through the end of the year 2023.

Gold price holds ground to continue the winning streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around $1,930 during the early trading hours of the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair is facing upward support ahead of the interest rate decisions from the major central banks.

The retracement of the US Dollar (USD) is a significant factor bolstering the price of Gold. The market participants turn cautious following the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting scheduled for Wednesday. Investors will closely analyze the central bank's statements, looking for any indications or information regarding potential future interest rate movements.

The markets are factoring in a 25 basis point rate hike by the end of 2023. Additionally, the resilience of recent economic data from the US is bolstering the possibility that the Fed may keep interest rates higher for a prolonged period, which could put a cap on the potential of the yellow metal.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which assesses the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six other major currencies, struggles to hold ground at around 105.10 at the time of writing. The US Treasury yields look to extend the losses registered on Monday. The yield on the US 10-year bond has declined to 4.30% by the press time. The downbeat yields are undermining the strength of the Greenback.

Following a similar path as the European Central Bank (ECB) last week, the Bank of England (BoE) is anticipated to implement a cautious 25 basis point interest rate increase in the meeting on Thursday, with a focus on the potential risks associated with stagflation.

Meanwhile, market participants are pricing in the likelihood that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to maintain its highly accommodative monetary policy stance.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1932.82
Today Daily Change -1.00
Today Daily Change % -0.05
Today daily open 1933.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1922.88
Daily SMA50 1932
Daily SMA100 1946.42
Daily SMA200 1922.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1934.32
Previous Daily Low 1922.62
Previous Weekly High 1930.77
Previous Weekly Low 1901.07
Previous Monthly High 1966.08
Previous Monthly Low 1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1929.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1927.09
Daily Pivot Point S1 1926.19
Daily Pivot Point S2 1918.55
Daily Pivot Point S3 1914.49
Daily Pivot Point R1 1937.89
Daily Pivot Point R2 1941.95
Daily Pivot Point R3 1949.59

 

 

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