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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD keeps the bounce off $1,700 amid risk-on sentiment

  • Gold prices hold onto recovery gains from Monday’s low of $1,704.28.
  • Recovery in the market’s risk-tone, backed by Fed, gains support from expected US-China talks, fresh hopes of V-shaped recovery.
  • Qualitative catalysts to remain the key for immediate direction.

While keeping the latest recovery moves from $1,704.28, Gold prices rise to $1,728 amid the initial Asian session on Tuesday. Even so, the bullion seesaws in the immediate range between $1,723.45 and $1,728.48.

The precious metal fell on Monday amid the market’s broad risk aversion wave backed by the fears of the coronavirus (COVID-19) resurgence. The cautious sentiment gained momentum after weekend headlines suggested a jump in the virus cases from the US, Tokyo and Japan.

However, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) announcement to increase the span of its corporate bond buying triggered the risk-on sentiment. Also recently supporting the optimism could be the hopes of the US-China talks in Hawaii and expectations of a V-shaped recovery.

It should also be noted that the UK’s human testing of the second vaccine to combat the pandemic adds to the positive mood. Though, the US Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) warning over the use of much-championed drug Remdesivir caps the optimism.

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures extend Wall Street’s upbeat performance with 0.10% gains to 3,069.

Given the lack of major data/events in Asia, except for RBA minutes and the BOJ, gold traders are likely to keep eyes on the risk factors for fresh impetus. In doing so, the updates concerning the pandemic and US-China relations, as well as hopes of economic recovery, could gain major attention.

Technical analysis

Although 21-day SMA around $1,723 restricts the yellow metal’s immediate downside, buyers are less likely to enter any fresh positions unless crossing the monthly top above $1,745.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1727.96
Today Daily Change -2.62
Today Daily Change % -0.15%
Today daily open 1730.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1722.94
Daily SMA50 1709.03
Daily SMA100 1650.5
Daily SMA200 1574.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1743.09
Previous Daily Low 1722.44
Previous Weekly High 1744.75
Previous Weekly Low 1677.73
Previous Monthly High 1765.38
Previous Monthly Low 1670.72
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1735.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1730.33
Daily Pivot Point S1 1720.98
Daily Pivot Point S2 1711.39
Daily Pivot Point S3 1700.33
Daily Pivot Point R1 1741.63
Daily Pivot Point R2 1752.69
Daily Pivot Point R3 1762.28

 

 

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