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GBP/USD jumps to 1.3530-35 area, fresh session top amid weaker USD

  • GBP/USD attracted some buying near the mid-1.3400s amidst renewed USD selling.
  • The prevalent risk-on environment acted as a headwind for the safe-haven USD.
  • Rebounding US bond yields might limit the USD slide and cap gains for the major.
  • Dovish BoE and Brexit jitters might further hold bulls back from placing aggressive bets.

The GBP/USD pair climbed further beyond the key 1.3500 psychological mark and refreshed daily tops heading into the North American session. The pair was last seen trading around the 1.3530-35 region, up nearly 0.30% for the day.

Following an intraday dip to mid-1.3400s, the GBP/USD pair gained some positive traction and built on Friday's recovery move from five-week lows touched in reaction to the upbeat US NFP report. The underlying bullish sentiment in financial markets undermined the safe-haven US dollar, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor that provided a goodish lift to the major.

The passage of a long-delayed $1 trillion US infrastructure bill added to optimism over global economic growth and turned out to be a key factor that boosted investors' confidence. That said, a solid rebound in US Treasury bond yields should limit USD losses. This, along with Brexit jitters, could keep a lid on any further gains for the GBP/USD pair.

The Fed last week stuck to its transitory inflation narrative and indicated that policymakers were in no rush to hike borrowing costs. Market participants, however, seem convinced that the US central bank would be forced to adopt a more aggressive policy response to contain stubbornly high inflation. This was seen as a key factor that pushed US bond yields higher.

Investors remain worried, meanwhile, that the UK government will trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol. Apart from this, the Bank of England's surprise decision last week to keep interest rates steady might further hold bulls back from placing aggressive bets on the British pound. This warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move for the GBP/USD pair.

In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases on Monday, traders will take cues from Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at an online conference. This, along with US bond yields and broader market risk sentiment, will drive USD demand. Apart from this, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's comments will influence GBP and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.3533
Today Daily Change 0.0034
Today Daily Change % 0.25
Today daily open 1.3499
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3693
Daily SMA50 1.3701
Daily SMA100 1.3761
Daily SMA200 1.3849
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3509
Previous Daily Low 1.3424
Previous Weekly High 1.3698
Previous Weekly Low 1.3424
Previous Monthly High 1.3834
Previous Monthly Low 1.3434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3477
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3457
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3446
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3393
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3361
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.353
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3562
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3615

 

 

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