EUR/USD remains on the defensive, holds above mid-1.0500s as traders await US PCE Price Index
|- EUR/USD trades with a mild negative bias for the fourth successive day on Friday.
- An uptick in the US bond yields acts as a tailwind for the USD and exerts pressure.
- The ECB’s dovish outlook undermines the Euro and contributes to the offered tone.
The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from the 1.0520 area, or over a one-week low and edges lower during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices trade with a mild negative bias for the fourth straight day, albeit manage to hold just above mid-1.0500s.
A modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields acts as a tailwind for the US Dollar (USD), which, along with the European Central Bank's (ECB) dovish outlook, turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. Despite signs of easing inflationary pressures in the US, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to stick to its hawkish stance and keep rates higher for longer in the wake of the resilient US economy.
The bets were reaffirmed by the US macro data released on Thursday, which showed that the economy expanded by a 4.9% annualize pace during the third quarter as compared to the 4.2% growth estimated. Furthermore, the US Durable Goods Orders shot up by 4.7% in September, also beating market expectations. This, along with the European Central Bank's (ECB) dovish outlook, continues to weigh on the EUR/USD pair.
As was anticipated, the ECB decided to leave rates unchanged, ending its unprecedented streak of 10 consecutive increases in borrowing costs amid rising concerns over eurozone growth. In the post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde said that growth was likely to remain weak over the remainder of the year as the impact of higher interest rates was broadening, though did not rule out another rate increase.
Traders, meanwhile, seem reluctant to place aggressive bearish bets around the EUR/USD pair ahead of the release of the US Core PCE Price Index – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. The data will influence market expectations about the Fed's future rate-hike path, which, in turn, will drive the USD demand and provide a fresh impetus to the major. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register modest weekly losses.
Technical levels to watch
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