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AUD/JPY Technical Analysis: Eyes on three-week-old rising trendline after Japan GDP

  • AUD/JPY declines after Japan’s upbeat GDP/trade data.
  • An upward sloping support line since mid-November gains sellers’ attention.
  • 200-bar SMA, one-week-old falling trend line restrict immediate upside.

AUD/JPY trades around 74.20, after flashing a low of 74.17, on early Monday. The quote reacted to Japan’s upbeat Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Trade Balance data.

Japan’s third-quarter (Q3) GDP (QoQ) rose beyond 0.2% expectations and 0.1% preliminary forecast to +0.4% while the yearly figure stood unchanged at 0.6%. Further, Japan’s October month Trade Balance on the Balance of Payments (BOP) basis crossed ¥1.1 B prior with a whooping ¥254 B.

Read: Japanese GDP Q3 beats expectations by 0.2%

The pair now seems to decline towards near-term rising support line, at 74.00. However, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of November month fall, near 73.90, can stop the further downpour.

Should there be additional weakness past-73.90, the previous month’s low near 73.35 will be on the Bears’ radar.

Meanwhile, 200-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) and an immediate falling trend line limit the pair’s near-term upside around 74.35/40.

In a case prices rally beyond 74.40, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement close to 74.80 and November 10 high around 75.00 could return to the charts.

AUD/JPY four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 74.21
Today Daily Change -5 pips
Today Daily Change % -0.07%
Today daily open 74.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 74.15
Daily SMA50 73.94
Daily SMA100 73.44
Daily SMA200 75.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 74.54
Previous Daily Low 74.16
Previous Weekly High 74.85
Previous Weekly Low 73.89
Previous Monthly High 75.68
Previous Monthly Low 73.35
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 74.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 74.4
Daily Pivot Point S1 74.1
Daily Pivot Point S2 73.94
Daily Pivot Point S3 73.72
Daily Pivot Point R1 74.48
Daily Pivot Point R2 74.7
Daily Pivot Point R3 74.86

 

 

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