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WTI Price Analysis: Oil buyers stay hopeful beyond $77.80 despite pullback from 13-day-old resistance

  • WTI crude oil prints the first daily loss in three while retreating from short-term key resistance line.
  • Convergence of 200-day EMA, 50-day EMA puts a floor under the Oil Price.
  • Market’s cautious optimism also favors energy buyers despite mild losses.

WTI crude oil remains mildly offered near $79.80 as it takes a U-turn from a two-week-old resistance line to print the first daily loss in three heading into Monday’s European session. In doing so, the Black Gold also justifies the bearish MACD signals while struggling to cheer the softer US Dollar, as well as China-inspired risk-on mood.

Also read: S&P 500 Futures, yields portray cautious optimism on China stimulus while preparing for US inflation, NFP

That said, a downward-sloping resistance line from August 09, around $80.15 by the press time, restricts the immediate upside of the energy benchmark.

Given the downbeat MACD signals and the latest retreat from the key resistance line, the Oil price may witness further pullback in the price.

However, a convergence of the 200-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), around $77.80 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Oil bears.

Also acting as a short-term downside filter is the early July peak of around $77.15, a break of which will quickly drag the WTI crude oil price towards the high marked in May around d $74.70.

On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the stated resistance line, close to $80.15 will aim for the previous weekly high of around $81.70 before April’s top of $83.40.

In a case where the black gold remains firmer past $83.40, the current monthly high of around $84.35 will act as the last defense of the WTI sellers.

WTI Price: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 79.76
Today Daily Change -0.17
Today Daily Change % -0.21
Today daily open 79.93
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 80.94
Daily SMA50 76.58
Daily SMA100 75.12
Daily SMA200 75.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 80.3
Previous Daily Low 78.06
Previous Weekly High 81.68
Previous Weekly Low 77.53
Previous Monthly High 81.78
Previous Monthly Low 69.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 79.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 78.92
Daily Pivot Point S1 78.56
Daily Pivot Point S2 77.19
Daily Pivot Point S3 76.32
Daily Pivot Point R1 80.8
Daily Pivot Point R2 81.67
Daily Pivot Point R3 83.04

 

 

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