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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Retreats from monthly horizontal hurdle near 115.50

  • USD/JPY bounces off intraday low, seesaws around short-term key resistance area.
  • Crucial SMAs, firmer RSI can keep buyers hopeful amid sluggish trading.
  • Clear break of five-week-old rising trend line adds strength to the bearish bias.

USD/JPY struggles for clear directions around 115.55 amid Monday’s Asian session, after stepping back from one-month-old horizontal resistance the previous day.

In addition to the aforementioned horizontal resistance area, around 115.70-90, the pair’s sustained trading below the previous support line from January 24, at 115.85 by the press time, also keeps USD/JPY sellers hopeful.

Hence, the quote’s further weakness towards the 100-SMA level of 115.30 can’t be ruled out.

However, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of January-February upside, at 114.90, will challenge USD/JPY bears afterward.

Should USD/JPY bears dominate past 114.90, the monthly low of 114.15 will be in focus.

On the contrary, a clear upside break of 115.90 won’t hesitate to poke the monthly high of 116.33.

Though, tops marked in January around 116.35, will add strength to the 116.30-35 resistance zone, a break of which will propel the quote towards the late 2016 peak near 118.70.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 115.58
Today Daily Change 0.05
Today Daily Change % 0.04%
Today daily open 115.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 115.22
Daily SMA50 114.94
Daily SMA100 114.39
Daily SMA200 112.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 115.76
Previous Daily Low 115.15
Previous Weekly High 115.76
Previous Weekly Low 114.41
Previous Monthly High 116.35
Previous Monthly Low 113.47
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 115.38
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 115.53
Daily Pivot Point S1 115.2
Daily Pivot Point S2 114.87
Daily Pivot Point S3 114.58
Daily Pivot Point R1 115.81
Daily Pivot Point R2 116.09
Daily Pivot Point R3 116.43

 

 

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