USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears getting set for a target to the W-formation's neckline
|- USD/JPY bears waiting to pounce, but bulls not throwing in the towel, yet.
- The daily chart's W-formation is compelling for a downside playbook.
Further to the prior analysis, USD/JPY Price Analysis: Daily 38.2% correction before test of monthly resistance, and more recently, USD/JPY Price Analysis: Pre-Fed bullish prospects through daily trendline resistance, bulls are still in control with little let -up.
This is not ideal for the impatient trader seeking an opportunity all the way to the downside target in the 103.80s, nor for those looking to buy the correction from there either.
However, bullish commitments from the 104 figure, or thereabout, have paid off.
Meanwhile, the W-formation on the daily chart remains an opportunity to play for.
W-formation opportunity
In a prior analysis, from Jan 11th, it was explained that the neckline of the formation would be expected to be retested:
This is what we got:
While the price did actually grind a little deeper, the purpose of this illustration is to highlight the probability of a correction of the W-formation's bullish impulse.
More often than not, the correction will make it all the way to test the formation's neckline before the price continues higher, as it did in the case above when we roll forward the tape:
Meanwhile, we now have a similar scenario on the live charts.
Live market opportunity
The US dollar (DXY) has since exploded to the upside in a third attempt to penetrate resistance, with no give back for the USD/JPY bears:
This has dragged USD/JPY along for the ride to create another W-formation:
1-hour chart
However, the market is still in the hands of the bulls, but the 1-hour time frame can be monitored for a shift of environment from which would be expected to produce a short trading opportunity to the neckline of the daily formation.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.