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USD/CHF slides below 0.9700 mark, nearly two-week low amid broad-based USD weakness

  • USD/CHF witnesses heavy selling on Tuesday and drops to a nearly two-week low.
  • The ongoing USD retracement slide from a two-decade high continues to exert pressure.
  • Elevated US bond yields, the risk-on impulse could help limit deeper losses for the major.

The USD/CHF pair meets with a fresh supply near the 0.9785 area on Tuesday and extends its retracement slide from a multi-week high touched last Thursday. The intraday selling picked up pace during the European session and dragged spot prices to sub-0.9700 levels, or a nearly two-week low.

The US dollar prolonged its profit-taking slide from a two-decade high amid receding bets for a massive 100 bps rate hike move by the Federal Reserve in July. In fact, several FOMC members said last week that they were not in favour of a bigger rate increase that the markets priced in following the release of red-hot US consumer inflation.

The USD was further pressured by a strong pickup in demand for the shared currency, bolstered by reports that the ECB will discuss whether to raise rates by 25 bps or 50 bps at its meeting on Thursday. This, in turn, continues exerting downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair, though a combination of factors might help limit any further losses.

The risk-on impulse - as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets - could undermine the safe-haven Swiss franc and offer some support to the USD/CHF pair. Furthermore, investors seem convinced that the recent surge in US consumer inflation to a four-decade high will force the Fed to deliver a larger rate hike later in the year.

The speculation remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields, which should act as a tailwind for the USD. The fundamental backdrop supports prospects for the emergence of some buying around the USD/CHF pair, warranting some caution for bearish traders before positioning for any further depreciating move.

Market participants now look forward to the US housing market data - Building Permits and Housing Starts - due later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields, might influence the USD. Traders will further take cues from the broader risk sentiment to grab short-term opportunities around the USD/CHF pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9686
Today Daily Change -0.0093
Today Daily Change % -0.95
Today daily open 0.9779
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9682
Daily SMA50 0.9737
Daily SMA100 0.9582
Daily SMA200 0.9395
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.979
Previous Daily Low 0.9731
Previous Weekly High 0.9886
Previous Weekly Low 0.9757
Previous Monthly High 1.005
Previous Monthly Low 0.9495
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9767
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9753
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9743
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9708
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9684
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9802
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9826
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9861

 

 

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