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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bears take breather near 61.8% Fibo. level around mid-$20.00s

  • Silver continues losing ground for the fourth straight day and refreshes the YTD low on Monday.
  • Oversold oscillators on the daily chart help the XAG/USD to find support near the 61.8% Fibo.
  • The setup still favours bearish traders and supports prospects for a further depreciating move.

Silver remains under some selling pressure for the fourth successive day and drops to a fresh YTD low during the first half of trading on Monday. The white metal currently trades just above the mid-$20.00s and seems vulnerable to prolonging the recent downfall witnessed since the beginning of this month.

Friday's convincing break and acceptance below a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) adds credence to the negative outlook. That said, oscillators on the daily chart are flashing extremely oversold conditions, making it prudent to wait for some consolidation or a modest rebound before positioning for further losses.

Any attempted recovery, however, is more likely to meet with a fresh supply near the $21.00 mark. This, in turn, should cap the XAG/USD near the $21.30-$21.35 region, marking the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the rally from October 2022. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if cleared could prompt some near-term short-covering.

Bearish traders, meanwhile, take a breather near the 61.8% Fibo. level, below which the XAG/USD could accelerate the fall towards challenging the $20.00 psychological mark. The white metal could eventually drop to the $19.75-$19.70 intermediate support en route to the $19.15 horizontal zone and the $19.00 round-figure mark.

Silver daily chart

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 20.66
Today Daily Change -0.10
Today Daily Change % -0.48
Today daily open 20.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 22.2
Daily SMA50 23.14
Daily SMA100 22.02
Daily SMA200 21.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 21.4
Previous Daily Low 20.74
Previous Weekly High 21.98
Previous Weekly Low 20.74
Previous Monthly High 24.55
Previous Monthly Low 22.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 20.99
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 21.15
Daily Pivot Point S1 20.53
Daily Pivot Point S2 20.31
Daily Pivot Point S3 19.87
Daily Pivot Point R1 21.2
Daily Pivot Point R2 21.63
Daily Pivot Point R3 21.86

 

 

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