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NZD/USD remains on the defensive ahead of US PMIs, RBNZ meeting on Wednesday

  • NZD/USD edges lower on Tuesday and is pressured by a combination of factors.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations continue to underpin the USD and act as a headwind.
  • A weaker risk tone contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive Kiwi.
  • Traders now eye US PMIs for some impetus ahead of the RBNZ on Wednesday.

The NZD/USD pair comes under some renewed selling pressure on Tuesday and remains depressed heading into the North American session. Spot prices, however, manage to recover a few pips from the daily low and defend the 0.62000 round-figure mark, at least for the time being.

The US Dollar buying interest remains unabated amid firming expectations for further policy tightening by the Fed, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor weighing on the NZD/USD pair. In fact, the markets seem convinced that the US central bank will stick to its hawkish stance for longer and are pricing in at least a 25 bps lift-off at the next two FOMC meetings in March and May. This, in turn, triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields and continues to underpin the buck.

Meanwhile, worries about economic headwinds stemming from rapidly rising borrowing costs, along with geopolitical tensions, take a toll on the global risk sentiment. This is evident from a generally weaker tone around the equity markets, which further benefits the Greenback's relative safe-haven status and drives flows away from the risk-sensitive Kiwi. The downside for the NZD/USD pair, however, remains limited ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meeting on Wednesday.

The RBNZ is expected to hike interest rates by 50 bps, though some investors anticipate a pause in the policy tightening cycle in the wake of severe flooding and cyclone damage. Apart from this, investors will take cues from the accompanying policy statement for clues about the future rate-hike path. The focus will then shift to the FOMC meeting minutes, which will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics and help determine the next leg of a directional move for the NZD/USD pair.

Heading into the key central bank event risk, Tuesday's US economic docket - featuring the flash PMI prints and Existing Home Sales data - might provide some impetus to the NZD/USD pair. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment should allow traders to grab short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6239
Today Daily Change -0.0014
Today Daily Change % -0.22
Today daily open 0.6253
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6375
Daily SMA50 0.6364
Daily SMA100 0.6165
Daily SMA200 0.6187
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6263
Previous Daily Low 0.6221
Previous Weekly High 0.6391
Previous Weekly Low 0.6193
Previous Monthly High 0.6531
Previous Monthly Low 0.619
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6247
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6237
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6229
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6204
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6187
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6271
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6288
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6313

 

 

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