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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD fluctuates as Fed’s pushes back on rate cuts

  • Gold price oscillates in the $2030 - $2050 range following the Fed's decision to hold interest rates steady.
  • Fed officials voted unanimously and emphasized the need to see inflation lowering toward 2%.
  • Investors now turn to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell for further insights, with US Treasury yields and the Dollar Index responding to the latest Fed update.

Gold price trims earlier gains and retreats after the US Federal Reserve decided to keep rates unchanged while pushing back against speculation of rate cuts. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades volatile within the $2030 - $2050 area as market participants await Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s decision.

XAU/USD trades volatile following Fed’s decision

In its monetary policy meeting, Fed officials voted unanimously to keep rates unchanged. They noted that it would be appropriate to reduce rates until there is greater confidence that inflation is sustainably moving toward its 2% goal. The Fed added that risks of achieving the Fed dual mandate are moving into better balance and emphasized that the committee will remain “highly attentive” to inflation risks.

Regarding the reduction of the balance sheet, it would remain as previously described while tightening restrictions on all Fed staff with access to confidential FOMC information.

After the data, the US 10-year Treasury note yield spiked to 4% before retreating somewhat towards 3.97%. At the same time, the US Dollar Index (DXY) aimed toward 103.50 before getting back to 103.35.

XAU/USD Reaction to Fed’s Decision

Gold dived toward the $2040 area after the Fed’s decision, though it remains seesawing, as mentioned in the first paragraph, capped at $2050. Although XAU/USD hovers at around $2040, downside risks remain, as the Fed’s statement was perceived as hawkish, though the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell would cross the wires at around 19:30 GMT.

Key resistance lies at the daily high at $2055.98, followed by $2090, ahead of $2100. On the flip side, support emerges at $2032.14, the day’s low, followed by the January 25 low of $2009.66.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2045.38
Today Daily Change 9.32
Today Daily Change % 0.46
Today daily open 2036.06
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2029.56
Daily SMA50 2031.42
Daily SMA100 1980.82
Daily SMA200 1964.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2048.65
Previous Daily Low 2029.15
Previous Weekly High 2037.95
Previous Weekly Low 2009.65
Previous Monthly High 2144.48
Previous Monthly Low 1973.13
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2041.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2036.6
Daily Pivot Point S1 2027.26
Daily Pivot Point S2 2018.45
Daily Pivot Point S3 2007.76
Daily Pivot Point R1 2046.76
Daily Pivot Point R2 2057.45
Daily Pivot Point R3 2066.26

 

 

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