Gold Price Forecast: Acceptance above $1,870 is critical for XAU/USD bulls – Confluence Detector
|- Gold price consolidates the upside, with stiff resistance seen at $1,870.
- Weaker Treasury yields underpin but global tightening bets limit gold bulls.
- Gold capitalizes on inflation fears, buyers look to retain control.
Gold price is struggling to extend the upside beyond the critical $1,870 supply zone, despite the extended weakness in the US Treasury yields and the dollar. Increased calls for the global central banks to act to tackle inflation are limiting gold’s bullish momentum. Although, gold bulls continue to benefit from the persistent worries and the recent retreat in the US rates from three-week highs. Fed speculation and inflation concerns will continue to drive the sentiment around the yields and gold price.
Read: Gold Price Forecast: Falling yields could fuel a sustained break above $1,878 in XAU/USD
Gold Price: Key levels to watch
The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold price is wavering below the critical topside hurdle of $1,870, which is the meeting point of the previous week’s high and the previous day’s high.
Acceptance above the latter will kick start a fresh advance towards $1,880, where the pivot point one-day R2 lies.
Ahead of that the confluence of the pivot point one-day R1 and Bollinger Band four-hour Upper at $1,873 will guard the upside.
If the bulls flex their muscles, then the pivot point one-month R3 at $1,884 will get tested.
Alternatively, sellers need a strong foothold below $1,862, the convergence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and SMA5 one-day, to take over complete control.
The next critical cushion is seen at $1,857, the intersection of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day and Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.
The pivot point one-month R2 at $1,850 is the last line of defense for gold optimists.
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About Technical Confluences Detector
The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.
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