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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD’s rebound stalls below $1800 ahead of US data, Powell

  • Vaccine-led optimism downs DXY, lifts Gold towards $1800.
  • 100-HMA seen capping the rebound in XAU/USD.
  • All eyes on US data, Powell’s testimony and vaccine news.

Gold (XAU/USD) stalls its rebound from five-month lows of $1765 in the European session this Tuesday, as the 100-hourly moving average (HMA) guards the immediate upside near $1797.

Gold attempted a solid comeback after the recent sharp declines, mainly in response to the broad-based US dollar weakness, as the month-end dollar demand faded. The focus shifted back to the coronavirus vaccine-driven economic recovery hopes, which diminished the greenback’s safe-haven appeal.

Also, the continued escalation in the virus infections globally combined continues to cast a dark cloud on the economic prospects, lending support to gold’s recovery.

However, the XAU bulls now turn cautious ahead of the highly influential ISM Manufacturing PMI data and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony. Also, the risk-on action in the European equities and US stock futures caps the bounce in the non-yielding gold.

Gold Price Chart: Technical outlook

Gold charted a symmetrical triangle breakout on the hourly chart earlier in the Asian trades, having recaptured the 50-HMA at $1784. However, the bulls are facing strong resistance just below the 100-HMA barrier, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned south, near 65.50. However, the technical indicator still suggests that the recovery mode remains intact.

Alternatively, the 50-HMA support could offer an immediate reprieve to the bulls. A break below which the multi-month lows of $1765 could be back in play.

Gold: Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1793.10
Today Daily Change 17.05
Today Daily Change % 0.96
Today daily open 1776.57
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1864.09
Daily SMA50 1882.81
Daily SMA100 1910.03
Daily SMA200 1799.86
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1790
Previous Daily Low 1764.6
Previous Weekly High 1876.14
Previous Weekly Low 1774.4
Previous Monthly High 1965.58
Previous Monthly Low 1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1774.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1780.3
Daily Pivot Point S1 1764.11
Daily Pivot Point S2 1751.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 1738.71
Daily Pivot Point R1 1789.51
Daily Pivot Point R2 1802.46
Daily Pivot Point R3 1814.91

 

 

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