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EUR/GBP poised for extra upside – Danske Bank

Strategist at Danske Bank Vladimir Miklashevsky noted the European cross could edge higher in the short term horizon.

Key Quotes

“GBP was sold off yesterday on reports that UK PM Theresa May could lose the vote in the House of Commons on a pro-European EU custom union amendment”.

“May survived the vote last night, but GBP remained weak, with EUR/GBP trading around 0.8880 overnight. Yesterday’s sell-off in GBP came despite the release of a decent UK job report, which came in as expected and thus still supports the case for a rate hike from the Bank of England in August”.

“However, the market is already pricing in more than an 80% probability that the BoE will raise the Bank Rate on 2 August, and thus relative interest rates should provide only little support to GBP ahead of the BoE meeting. Hence, risks remain skewed to the upside for EUR/GBP near term amid political uncertainty related to Brexit”.

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