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AUD/USD drops towards 0.7700 on US dollar strength, Victoria lockdown

  • AUD/USD prints three-day downtrend, refreshes intraday low of late.
  • Australia’s Q1 Private Capital Expenditure jumped 6.3%, China Industrial Profits eased.
  • Victoria announces seven-day lockdown to tame virus resurgence.
  • Risk-tone sours amid mixed messages, strong US Treasury yields.

AUD/USD stands on the slippery ground near 0.7725, down 0.24% intraday, during early Thursday. The double whammy of strong US dollar and the coronavirus (COVID-19)-led lockdown in Victoria weighs down the Aussie pair during the third day of losses.

The US dollar index (DXY) extends its recovery moves from early January lows, up 0.13% intraday, while following the firmer Treasury yields.

Elsewhere, the recent uptick in the covid infections leads the Australian government to announce a seven-day lockdown in the second-largest state Victoria. The market’s amplified reaction to the local activity restrictions could be traced to the previous chatters that backed lockdown in only Melbourne, the state capital.

It’s worth mentioning that the Fed’s ability to convince markets of no tapering and China’s commodity crackdown battles US President Joe Biden’s readiness to extra infrastructure talks and vaccine optimism to trouble AUD/USD traders, due to the pair’s risk-barometer status.

Talking about data, Australia’s Private Capital Expenditure for the first quarter (Q1) crossed 2.0% market consensus and 3.0% previous readouts with a 6.3% jump. Further, China's Industrial Profits eased to 57.0%,  below 92.3% YoY previous readouts in April.

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures drops 0.17% and the stocks in Asia-Pacific are also mildly offered despite Wall Street’s modest gains on Wednesday.

Given the lack of major data/events ahead of the US session, Aussie traders may take clues from the US dollar moves and covid headlines. However, the US Durable Goods Orders for April and Weekly Jobless Claims may offer clearer directions afterward.

Read: US Durable Goods Orders April Preview: Jobs should equal spending

Technical analysis

100-day SMA near 0.7725 and a three-week-old support line near 0.7710 become crucial immediate supports to watch for AUD/USD sellers.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.7727
Today Daily Change -16 pips
Today Daily Change % -0.21%
Today daily open 0.7743
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7763
Daily SMA50 0.7714
Daily SMA100 0.7728
Daily SMA200 0.7518
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7797
Previous Daily Low 0.773
Previous Weekly High 0.7814
Previous Weekly Low 0.771
Previous Monthly High 0.7819
Previous Monthly Low 0.7531
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7756
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7771
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7716
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.769
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7649
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7783
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7824
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.785

 

 

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