Analysis

Risk appetite worsens on BOJ YCC move, Yen gains

Asia Market Update: Central Banks in focus [BOJ, RBA, PBOC]; Risk appetite worsens on BOJ YCC move, Yen gains; JGB FUTs halted.

General trend

- BOJ steps up fixed-rate JGB buying ops.

- Little news seen in the RBA minutes.

- China reports more COVID deaths.

- Weaker business confidence weighs on NZD, NZD/JPY selling also seen.

- Nikkei 225 killed on BOJ decision; Japanese Financials outperform.

- Chinese property cos. decline [developers continue to raise capital; PBOC left the 5-year LPR unchanged].

- BOJ Gov Kuroda to hold his post rate decision press conference at 01:30 ET (06:30 GMT).

Headlines/economic data

Australia/New Zealand

- ASX 200 opened -0.2%.

- (AU) Australia Foreign Min Wong: Dialogue essential to stabilize relationship with China; To advocate for lifting trade sanctions in next meeting with China officials.

- (NZ) New Zealand Dec ANZ Business Confidence: -70.2 v -57.1 prior [record low].

- (AU) Reserve bank of Australia (RBA) Dec minutes: board wants to be consistent, no clear impetus for 50bps rate hike or a pause.

Japan

- Nikkei 225 opened +0.1%.

- (JP) Japan FY23/24 new JGB issuance seen >¥35.0T, considering issuance of ¥500B of GX bonds in fiscal 2023 - Japanese press.

- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Leaves interest rate on excess reserves (IOER) unchanged at -0.10%; as expected.

- BOJ widens yield control (YCC) BAND to +/- 50BPS (prior +/- 25bps).

- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) offers to buy 5-10 year JGBs at fixed rate of 25bps; Opens window to buy unlimited amount of 10-year JGBs at 0.25% [as expected].

- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) offers to buy 5-10 year JGBs at fixed rate of 50bps [second fixed rate operation on today's session]; Opens window to buy unlimited amount of 10-year JGBs at 0.25% [as expected].

- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) offers to buy 1-3 year and 3-5 year JGBs under the fixed rate method [Third offer on the session] Opens window to buy unlimited amount of 1-3 year and 3-5year JGBs.

- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) offers to buy 10-25 year JGBs under the fixed rate method [Fourth offer on the session] Opens window to buy unlimited amount of 10-25 year JGBs.

- (JP) Japan Fin Min Suzuki: No decision has been made on revision joint statement with BOJ; Hopes BOJ continues working towards CPI target sustainable and stably.

Korea

- Kospi opened -0.3%.

- (KR) North Korea notes Japan Military buildup is a violation of UN Charter and challenge to international peace, provokes fundamental change in East Asia security environment.

- (KR) South Korea sells 20-year bonds: Avg yield 3.420% v 4.450% prior.

China/Hong Kong

- Hang Seng opened -1.0%; Shanghai Composite opened -0.3%.

- (CN) Chongqing (China) to allow mild COVID cases to go to work – US financial press.

- (CN) China sees 2022 fiscal spending at CNY26.3T, +6.9% y/y; cites Finance Minister Liu Kun – Chinese press.

- (CN) USTR Tai reiterates new tools are needed to counter China – SCMP.

- (CN) China Sec Journal: Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) and loan prime rate (LPR) could be cut.

- (CN) China PBOC monthly loan prime rate (LPR) setting: maintains both 1-year and 5-year rates (as expected).

- (CN) China National Health Commission (NHC): Reports 5 mainland COVID deaths on Dec 19th v 2 prior.

- (CN) China PBOC Open Market Operation (OMO): Sells CNY5B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY9.0B prior; Sells CNY141B in 14-day reverse repos v CNY76B prior; Net inject NY144B v net inject CNY83B prior.

- (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.9861 v 6.9746 prior.

- (HK) Hong Kong to further ease social distancing measures - press.

- (CN) China PBOC sells CNY5.0B in 6-month bills at 2.20% in Hong Kong (as indicated).

North America

- (US) Title 42 (Remain in Mexico Policy) to remain in effect after Supreme Court decision.

-(US) Dec NAHB housing market index: 31 V 34E (lowest since June 2012 excluding pandemic).

-(US) House Jan 6th Committee final report: Recommends DOJ bring criminal charges against former President Trump for conspiring to make a false statements and conspiring to defraud the government.

-(US) Treasury to issue notice in March with proposed guidance on EV tax credit, critical minerals, and battery component requirements; By Dec 31st, will release info on anticipated direction of the EV tax credits - press.

Europe

-(UK) Dec CBI industrial trends total orders: -6 V -9E.

-(DE) German Bundesbank Monthly Report: Domestic economy is contraction less than forecast.

-(EU) EU countries said to consider new proposal to trigger gas price cap at €180/MWh - press.

-(RU) Russian govt spokesperson Peskov: Russia considering additional proposal for our response to the oil price cap - financial press.

-(IT) Italy Business Min Urso: EU should adopt US-style aid for companies.

-(RU) EU Presidency confirms reached deal on Russia gas price cap at €180.MWh - press.

-(EU) ECB's Nagel (Germany): Will take some time to return to 2% inflation.

-(DE) Germany Econ Min Habeck: Still skeptical on gas price mechanism; We were able to get strong safeguards on the price cap to prevent harm.

Levels as of 00:20 ET

- Nikkei 225, -2.8%, ASX 200 -1.5% , Hang Seng -1.8%; Shanghai Composite -0.9% ; Kospi -0.8%.

- Equity S&P500 Futures: -0.9%; Nasdaq100 -1.1%, Dax -1.3%; FTSE100 -0.8%.

- EUR 1.0651-1.0597 ; JPY 137.47-133.09 ; AUD 0.6744-0.6644 ;NZD 0.6396-0.6314.

- Gold +0.1% at $1,799/oz; Crude Oil +0.2% at $75.56/brl; Copper -0.6% at $3.7380/lb.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.


RELATED CONTENT

Loading ...



Copyright © 2024 FOREXSTREET S.L., All rights reserved.