Gold, Chart of the Week: XAU/USD bears eye a run to test $1,970

Get 50% off on Premium Subscribe to Premium

You have reached your limit of 5 free articles for this month.

Get Premium without limits for only $9.99 for the first month

Access all our articles, insights, and analysts.

coupon

Your coupon code

UNLOCK OFFER

  • Gold price is under pressure on the front side.
  • A move to test $1,970 is eyed ahead of $1,950 as per weekly chart structure.

As per the prior week´s pre-open analysis, Gold,of the Week: XAU/USD bulls remain in control, where the Weekly chart´s W-formation had seen the Gold price duck towards the neckline, a bullish phase was anticipated as follows:

... we got a move into resistance as the ongoing analysis showed:

As illustrated above and below, it was then explained that we could have a topping pattern in place for the Gold price:

Gold price H4 chart, prior analysis

The Gold price had slid to the backside of the trendline support and a break of the neckline horizontal support of the Gold price Head & Shoulders pattern is still needed to switch the bias fully negative from out of the consolidation:

Gold, live updates

(weekly chart)

(Daily chart)

(H4 chart)

We now have gold meeting support and the price is correcting. So long as the Gold price stays on the front side of the bearish trendline,  the correction is going to struggle to maintain momentum and $1,970 will be eyed as the next key target for the bears. 

From a fundamental perspective, analysts at TD Securities explained that continued hawkish talk from the US FOMC members and unexpectedly firm economic data have convinced traders that the US central bank may not pivot to a dovish policy stance anytime soon.

´´With yields moving higher across the yield curve and a firmer dollar, many managers went short; this turned out to be the correct call as the yellow metal is some $66 off the $2,048/oz high at the time of writing,´´ the analysts explained.

´´Given US economic data continues to come in strong with the Fed likely hiking rates in May, prices may still drop further to support levels near $1,962/oz. This would be in line with our Q2 forecast of $1,975/oz,´´ the analysts concluded. 

  • Gold price is under pressure on the front side.
  • A move to test $1,970 is eyed ahead of $1,950 as per weekly chart structure.

As per the prior week´s pre-open analysis, Gold,of the Week: XAU/USD bulls remain in control, where the Weekly chart´s W-formation had seen the Gold price duck towards the neckline, a bullish phase was anticipated as follows:

... we got a move into resistance as the ongoing analysis showed:

As illustrated above and below, it was then explained that we could have a topping pattern in place for the Gold price:

Gold price H4 chart, prior analysis

The Gold price had slid to the backside of the trendline support and a break of the neckline horizontal support of the Gold price Head & Shoulders pattern is still needed to switch the bias fully negative from out of the consolidation:

Gold, live updates

(weekly chart)

(Daily chart)

(H4 chart)

We now have gold meeting support and the price is correcting. So long as the Gold price stays on the front side of the bearish trendline,  the correction is going to struggle to maintain momentum and $1,970 will be eyed as the next key target for the bears. 

From a fundamental perspective, analysts at TD Securities explained that continued hawkish talk from the US FOMC members and unexpectedly firm economic data have convinced traders that the US central bank may not pivot to a dovish policy stance anytime soon.

´´With yields moving higher across the yield curve and a firmer dollar, many managers went short; this turned out to be the correct call as the yellow metal is some $66 off the $2,048/oz high at the time of writing,´´ the analysts explained.

´´Given US economic data continues to come in strong with the Fed likely hiking rates in May, prices may still drop further to support levels near $1,962/oz. This would be in line with our Q2 forecast of $1,975/oz,´´ the analysts concluded. 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.


RELATED CONTENT

Loading ...



Copyright © 2024 FOREXSTREET S.L., All rights reserved.