GBP/USD Forecast: BOE’s Super Thursday may bring no surprises
Premium|Take advantage of 50% OFF on your first month.
Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.
You have reached your limit of 5 free articles for this month.
Get Premium without limits for only $9.99 for the first month
Access all our articles, insights, and analysts.
UNLOCK OFFERGBP/USD Current price: 1.3901
- The Bank of England will likely leave its policy unchanged, upgrade forecasts.
- The UK’s economic recovery is being overshadowed by Brexit tensions.
- GBP/USD hovers around 1.3900 with limited bearish potential in the near-term.
The GBP/USD pair hovers around the 1.3900 figure, marginally higher for the day but confined to familiar levels. The pair hit an intraday high of 1.3925 during European trading hours, confined to familiar levels amid the absence of UK data and as investors wait for the Bank of England. Meanwhile, tensions about fisheries rights between the UK and France continue, discouraging pound buyers.
The BOE is having a “Super Thursday,” as it will not only announce its monetary policy decision but will also report fresh growth and inflation forecasts. Ever since its latest meeting, the economy has shown signs of improvement, exacerbated by the speedy immunization campaign that led to economic reopenings. That means upward revisions could be expected, although it is too early to consider some form of tightening. The central bank will likely leave rates unchanged as well as the APP program. A hawkish stance from UK’s policymakers is mostly priced in, which means that the pound’s reaction will be wider in the case of a dovish BOE.
GBP/USD short-term technical outlook
The GBP/USD pair is trapped within familiar levels and would need a strong catalyst to find directional strength. In the meantime, the near-term risk is skewed to the upside, although the pair needs to clear a Fibonacci resistance at 1.3930. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is developing above all of its moving averages, with the 20 and the 100 SMAs converging a few pips below the 1.3880 Fibonacci support level. The Momentum indicator retreated but remains above its midline, while the RSI indicator is directionless around 54, indicating limited selling interest.
Support levels: 1.3880 1.3840 1.3800
Resistance levels: 1.3930 1.3975 1.4010
GBP/USD Current price: 1.3901
- The Bank of England will likely leave its policy unchanged, upgrade forecasts.
- The UK’s economic recovery is being overshadowed by Brexit tensions.
- GBP/USD hovers around 1.3900 with limited bearish potential in the near-term.
The GBP/USD pair hovers around the 1.3900 figure, marginally higher for the day but confined to familiar levels. The pair hit an intraday high of 1.3925 during European trading hours, confined to familiar levels amid the absence of UK data and as investors wait for the Bank of England. Meanwhile, tensions about fisheries rights between the UK and France continue, discouraging pound buyers.
The BOE is having a “Super Thursday,” as it will not only announce its monetary policy decision but will also report fresh growth and inflation forecasts. Ever since its latest meeting, the economy has shown signs of improvement, exacerbated by the speedy immunization campaign that led to economic reopenings. That means upward revisions could be expected, although it is too early to consider some form of tightening. The central bank will likely leave rates unchanged as well as the APP program. A hawkish stance from UK’s policymakers is mostly priced in, which means that the pound’s reaction will be wider in the case of a dovish BOE.
GBP/USD short-term technical outlook
The GBP/USD pair is trapped within familiar levels and would need a strong catalyst to find directional strength. In the meantime, the near-term risk is skewed to the upside, although the pair needs to clear a Fibonacci resistance at 1.3930. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is developing above all of its moving averages, with the 20 and the 100 SMAs converging a few pips below the 1.3880 Fibonacci support level. The Momentum indicator retreated but remains above its midline, while the RSI indicator is directionless around 54, indicating limited selling interest.
Support levels: 1.3880 1.3840 1.3800
Resistance levels: 1.3930 1.3975 1.4010
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.