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WTI Price Analysis: Oil hits two-month low

  • WTI crude hits the lowest level in two months. 
  • The bearish momentum looks strong, as per technical studies. 

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), a North American crude oil benchmark, fell to $38.55 on Tuesday – the lowest since July 10. 

At the current price of $39, the black gold is down 10.4% from $43.57 – the high of the bearish inverted hammer candle created on July 31. That candlestick pattern had warned of an impending sell-off. 

More importantly, the price drop could be extended this week, as the daily chart MACD histogram is now printing deeper bars below the zero line. That's a sign of the strengthening of downward momentum. 
 
The 14-day RSI is signaling bearish conditions with a below-50 print, and the 5- and 10-day simple moving averages are trending south, indicating a bearish setup. 

On the downside, key supports are seen at $38.54 (July 10 low) and $37.08 (June 25 low). Alternatively, resistances are located at $40 (psychological level) and $41.97 (10-day SMA). A close above the 10-day SMA is needed to invalidate the bearish bias

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

 

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