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WTI Price Analysis: Jostles with 50-DMA to convince Oil buyers

  • WTI grinds higher after crossing one-week-old resistance line.
  • Unimpressive oscillators, 50-DMA challenges Oil bulls ahead of the key 100-DMA hurdle.
  • Pullback remains elusive below $75.60 support confluence, $73.00-72.50 region appears a tough nut to crack for bears.

WTI crude oil struggles to extend the previous day’s stellar run-up around the weekly top, making rounds to $77.70-60 during early Wednesday. In doing so, the black gold seesaws around the 50-DMA amid sluggish RSI (14) and MACD signals.

It’s worth noting, however, that Tuesday’s upside break of a one-week-long descending trend line keeps WTI bulls hopeful.

Hence, a clear upside break of the 50-DMA hurdle, currently around $77.80, appears necessary for the WTI bulls to keep the reins.

Even so, the 100-DMA and a two-month-old descending resistance line, respectively around $80.90 and $82.70, could challenge the Oil buyers before giving them control.

That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the commodity’s November-December 2023 downturn near $84.30, also known as the “Golden Ratio”, acts as the last defense of the Oil bears.

Meanwhile, the resistance-turned-support line joins the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement to highlight $75.60 as the key support confluence for WTI bears to watch for taking entries.

Following that, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early December 2022, near $73.00-72.50, will be crucial as a break of which can quickly drag the prices toward late 2022 low near $70.30.

Overall, Oil buyers need to wait for a clear sign but the bears are clearly off the table.

WTI: Daily chart

Trend: Sideways

 

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