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WTI eyes multi-year highs near $80 amid encouraging fundamentals

  • WTI extends Thursday’s turnaround, as a test of the $80 mark looks imminent.
  • Persisting energy supply crunch, gas to oil switch support the US oil.
  • Doubts over the US’ release of oil from its strategic reserves underpin.

WTI (NYMEX futures) is off the two-day highs of $79.61, although remains firmly bid on fundamental factors favoring the bullish traders.

WTI eases on cautious mood but upside risks remain

At the time of writing, WTI is trading $79.35, up 1.25% on the day, poised for a 5% weekly gain.

The retreat in the black gold could be attributed to the cautious market mood, thanks to the re-emergence of concerns about China’s debt-laden property sector and a typical pre-NFP caution trading.

However, the underlying bullish momentum in the US oil remains intact amid a few signs of waning energy supply crunch. Further, increasing demand for oil, as some industries switch from high-cost natural gas to oil, also underpins the sentiment around WTI.

Oil price also benefited from a statement from the US Department of Energy, which cited that it has no plan 'at this time' to tap into the strategic oil reserves to stem the upsurge in the black gold.

The passage of the US debt ceiling bill also cheered the investors, who look to higher-yielding assets such as oil to find trading opportunities.

Markets now look forward to the US NFP release for fresh hints on the Fed’s next policy move, which is likely to have a significant impact on the markets, eventually influencing oil prices.

WTI technical levels to consider

WTI

Overview
Today last price 79.30
Today Daily Change 0.49
Today Daily Change % 0.62
Today daily open 78.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 73.66
Daily SMA50 70.22
Daily SMA100 70.53
Daily SMA200 65.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 78.63
Previous Daily Low 74.75
Previous Weekly High 76.51
Previous Weekly Low 73
Previous Monthly High 76.51
Previous Monthly Low 67.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 77.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 76.23
Daily Pivot Point S1 76.01
Daily Pivot Point S2 73.43
Daily Pivot Point S3 72.12
Daily Pivot Point R1 79.89
Daily Pivot Point R2 81.2
Daily Pivot Point R3 83.78

 

 

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