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USD/MXN Price Analysis: Rallies sharply above $18.30 as the Mexican Peso sinks on risk-off

  • Risk aversion bolstered the USD/MXN toward new weekly highs above $18.30.
  • USD/MXN Price Analysis: The daily close above the 20-day EMA opened the door toward $18.60.

The Mexican Peso (MXN) is under pressure on Thursday; after reaching new 5-year lows at 17.8967, the USD/MXN has risen back towards the 18.0800 area. At around the Wall Street close, risk aversion pushed US equities lower, while the Mexican Peso depreciated the most since February 6, 2023. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN is gaining 2.07%, or 3700 pips, at 18.3323.

Also read: USD/MXN advances above the 18.00 figure as traders rush to safety

USD/MXN Price action

The USD/MXN stages a recovery after trading below the $18.00 barrier during the last few days. Earlier in the day, I wrote, “Nevertheless, USD/MXN bulls are far ahead of declaring victory. They must reclaim the weekly high at 18.1788, followed by the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 18.2898.” Later in the session, USD/MXN bulls reclaimed those levels as the exchange rate rests comfortably above the 20-day EMA. Additionally, Thursday’s close for the USD/MXN was 18.3483, which has opened the door for further upside.

That said, the USD/MXN first resistance would be the new weekly high of 18.4391. A breach of the latter will expose the $18.50 barrier, closely followed by the 50-day EMA at 18.6410 and the 100-day EMA at 19.0105.

On the flip side, the USD/MXN first support would e the 20-day EMA at 18.3169. Once cleared, and the USD/MXN pair will dive towards the March 7 high turned support at 18.1788, followed by the $18.00 psychological level.

USD/MXN Daily chart

USD/MXN Technical levels

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price 18.3334
Today Daily Change 0.3487
Today Daily Change % 1.94
Today daily open 17.9847
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 18.3493
Daily SMA50 18.7288
Daily SMA100 19.1545
Daily SMA200 19.6575
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 18.1276
Previous Daily Low 17.9022
Previous Weekly High 18.4235
Previous Weekly Low 17.9541
Previous Monthly High 19.2901
Previous Monthly Low 18.2954
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 17.9884
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 18.0415
Daily Pivot Point S1 17.8821
Daily Pivot Point S2 17.7795
Daily Pivot Point S3 17.6567
Daily Pivot Point R1 18.1075
Daily Pivot Point R2 18.2303
Daily Pivot Point R3 18.3329

 

 

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