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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Prints a new 2-year high around 0.9539 as it aims towards 0.9600

  • The Swiss franc extends its losses in the week, down 1.24%.
  • Risk-on market mood and higher US Treasury yields weighed on the CHF.
  • USD/CHF Price Forecast: A daily close above 0.9533 would open the door for a 0.9600 test.

On Thursday, the USD/CHF grinds higher amidst an upbeat market mood, up some 0.37% in the North American session. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9535.

So far, the market sentiment remains positive, as the European and US equities are trading in the green. US Treasury yields increased during the North American session, underpinning the greenback. The US Dollar Index, a gauge of the buck’s value vs. a basket of its peers, edges up 0.17%, sitting at 100.514, near the daily highs, after falling under the 100.00 threshold.

The Swiss franc fall is courtesy of market sentiment. Due to its status as a safe-haven peer, it usually depreciates in times of risk-on market mood. Also, the Swiss National Bank (SNB), one of the most actives central banks in FX, favors a weak CHF, so it’s not rare seeing it intervening in the USD/CHF and the EUR/CHF pairs.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The last two days’ USD/CHF price action kept the bullish bias on the pair, further confirmed by Wednesday’s close above 0.9480. The daily moving averages (DMAs) reacted to recent price action and turned upwards, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 71.26, within the overbought territory, might put a lid on USD/CHF gains.

The USD/CHF first resistance would be June 30 2020 highs at 0.9538. A breach of the latter would expose the 0.9600 figure. Once cleared, the following supply zone would be June 5 2020 highs around 0.9650.

Key Levels to Watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9535
Today Daily Change 0.0050
Today Daily Change % 0.53
Today daily open 0.9484
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9341
Daily SMA50 0.9296
Daily SMA100 0.9249
Daily SMA200 0.9224
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9537
Previous Daily Low 0.9454
Previous Weekly High 0.9443
Previous Weekly Low 0.9287
Previous Monthly High 0.946
Previous Monthly Low 0.915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9486
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9505
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9447
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9409
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9365
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9529
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9574
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9612

 

 

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