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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Further downside below 1.2900 appears on the cards

  • USD/CAD struggles inside the key DMA envelope after dropping the previous day.
  • Fortnight-old descending trend line adds to the upside filters, bearish MACD favors further downside.
  • 21-DMA holds the key to seller’s welcome, 10-DMA guards recovery.

USD/CAD fades bounce off intraday low around 1.2880 during Friday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Loonie pair remains pressured inside the familiar trading range between the 10-DMA and the 21-DMA by the press time.

It’s worth noting that the quote dropped the most in a week while reversing from the confluence of the 10-DMA and a two-week-old resistance line, around 1.2915-20 at the latest.

The pullback also gains support from the bearish MACD signals, which in turn challenge the quote’s corrective bounce afterward.

However, the 21-DMA support of 1.2837 precedes the weekly low near 1.2820 to challenge the short-term downside of the USD/CAD prices.

In a case where the pair stays weak past 1.2820, the odds of witnessing a south-run towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of April-June upside, near 1.2740, can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, a clear upside break of the 1.2920 hurdle could propel the USD/CAD pair towards the 1.3000 psychological magnet.

Following that, the double tops surrounding 1.3080 appear tough nut to crack for the bulls.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.2876
Today Daily Change -0.0017
Today Daily Change % -0.13%
Today daily open 1.2893
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2821
Daily SMA50 1.282
Daily SMA100 1.2735
Daily SMA200 1.2678
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.29
Previous Daily Low 1.2844
Previous Weekly High 1.3039
Previous Weekly Low 1.289
Previous Monthly High 1.3077
Previous Monthly Low 1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2879
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2865
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2858
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2823
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2802
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2914
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2935
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.297

 

 

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