Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD trades near $77.00 after plunging over 10%
|- Silver price declines as precious metals faced renewed selling pressure and heightened volatility.
- Dollar-denominated silver slips as a stronger USD reflects hawkish Fed signals and slower rate-cut expectations.
- Fed’s Cook said she won’t support further cuts without clearer signs inflation is easing.
Silver price (XAG/USD) plunged over 10% after two days of gains, trading around $77.00 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday. Silver prices fall as precious metals face renewed selling pressure and increased volatility.
Dollar-denominated precious metals, including Silver lose ground amid a stronger US Dollar (USD), fueled by hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and expectations of a slower pace of US rate cuts.
Fed Governor Lisa Cook said she would not back another cut without clearer evidence that inflation is easing, stressing greater concern over stalled disinflation than labor market weakness.
Investors also weighed the implications of Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Fed chair, citing his preference for a smaller balance sheet and a less aggressive approach to rate reductions. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said he would not have nominated Warsh if he favored rate hikes. Trump further stated that there was “not much” doubt the US central bank would lower rates because “we’re way high in interest,” but now “we’re a rich country again.”
The safe-haven demand for Silver fades amid geopolitical tensions, which eased after the US and Iran are set to hold a new round of talks on Friday, though the agenda remains unclear. Tehran aims to limit discussions to its nuclear program, while Washington wants to include ballistic missiles, regional militant support, and human rights concerns.
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
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