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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD nosedives as US yields rally in a data-packed week

  • Silver price plunges to near $23.15 as appeal for bullions fade ahead of FOMC minutes.
  • Investors reconsider Fed’s rate cut bets amid robust US economic prospects.
  • More downside in Silver is likely amid a H&S breakdown.

Silver price (XAG/USD) fell vertically to near $23.15 as investors rush for safe-haven assets in the early New York session. The white metal is heavily dump by the market participants as investors have started reconsidering their bets in favour of early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The S&P500 is expected to open on a weak note, portraying a significant decline in the risk-appetite of the market participants. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded to near its two-week high around 102.55 as investors turn cautious ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes and the United States Manufacturing PMI to be reported by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) for December.

As per the CME Fedwatch tool, chances for the Fed reducing interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 5.00-5.25% in the March monetary policy meeting have dropped to 65% vs. 72% recorded on Tuesday.

Investors have reconsidered Fed’s early rate bets as they mulls over resilient US economic prospects, which could delay ‘rate-cut’ campaign.

On the economic data front, investors await the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, which is seen higher at 47.1 vs. the former reading of 46.7.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price witnesses a steep fall after a breakdown of the Head and Shoulder chart pattern formed on a four-hour scale. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that a bearish momentum has been triggered.

Silver four-hour chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 23.04
Today Daily Change -0.62
Today Daily Change % -2.62
Today daily open 23.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.83
Daily SMA50 23.65
Daily SMA100 23.3
Daily SMA200 23.67
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 24.09
Previous Daily Low 23.64
Previous Weekly High 24.49
Previous Weekly Low 23.54
Previous Monthly High 25.92
Previous Monthly Low 22.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 23.82
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 23.92
Daily Pivot Point S1 23.5
Daily Pivot Point S2 23.35
Daily Pivot Point S3 23.05
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.95
Daily Pivot Point R2 24.25
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.4

 

 

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