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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD struggles near one-week low, just above mid-$21.00s

  • Silver remained depressed near the weekly low touched the previous day.
  • The set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses.
  • Sustained move beyond the $22.00 mark is needed to negate the bearish bias.

Silver oscillated in a range, just above mid-$21.00s through the first half of the European session and consolidated the previous day's decline to over a one-week low.

Given the recent failures near the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, acceptance below the $22.00 round-figure mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Moreover, technical indicators on hourly/daily charts are holding in the bearish territory and add credence to the near-term negative outlook for the XAG/USD.

Some follow-through selling below the $21.50-$21.45 area would reaffirm the bearish bias and pave the way for additional losses. The XAG/USD could then fall to the $21.00 mark with some intermediate support near the $21.30 zone. The downward trajectory could get extended towards the YTD low, around the $20.45 region touched on May 13.

On the flip side, any attempted recovery move might now confront stiff resistance near the $21.90-$22.00 support breakpoint. The said region also marks a confluence barrier comprising the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and the $20.46-$22.52 corrective bounce, which should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

Sustained strength beyond might trigger a short-covering move and lift spot prices back towards the monthly peak, around the mid-$22.00s touched earlier this week. The momentum could then allow bulls to reclaim the $23.00 round-figure mark and lift the XAG/USD further towards the next relevant hurdle near the $23.30 region.

Silver 4-hour chart

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 21.66
Today Daily Change -0.03
Today Daily Change % -0.14
Today daily open 21.69
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 21.86
Daily SMA50 23.02
Daily SMA100 23.67
Daily SMA200 23.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 22.15
Previous Daily Low 21.55
Previous Weekly High 22.48
Previous Weekly Low 21.44
Previous Monthly High 23.28
Previous Monthly Low 20.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 21.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 21.92
Daily Pivot Point S1 21.45
Daily Pivot Point S2 21.2
Daily Pivot Point S3 20.85
Daily Pivot Point R1 22.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 22.39
Daily Pivot Point R3 22.64

 

 

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