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NZD/USD slides as gloomy US data sparked US Dollar demand

  • NZD/USD drops to 0.6298 as US Dollar demand surges amidst an easing labor market and decelerating PPI figures.
  • Weaker Chinese inflation data and factory activity contraction impact NZD, seen as a proxy for the Chinese economy.
  • Investors monitor US debt ceiling discussions as Biden resumes talks with Congress leaders on Friday.

NZD/USD dropped from around weekly highs in the North American session after US data painted a gloomy economic outlook but triggered demand for the US Dollar (USD) as risk aversion hit the FX space. US Treasury bond yields are down as investors price 75 bps of rate cuts by December 2023. The NZD/USD is trading at 0.6298, down more than 1%.

Risk aversion and a weaker Chinese economy weigh on NZD, down over 1%

A strong USD dented the prospects of the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), which weakened due to some reasons. Weaker inflation data in China prompted worries about the growth pace in one of Asia’s largest economies. Nevertheless, China’s contraction in factory activity, and imports falling, weighed on the NZD, which is seen as well as the Aussie Dollar (AUD) as a proxy for the Chinese economy.

On the USD front, data from the United States (US) showed that the labor market is easing, as unemployment claims climbed to 264K, above the 245K expected. At the same time, the Producer Price Index (PPI) in April decelerated to 2.3% YoY, the same as the core PPI, which rose by 3.2% YoY, with both figures below forecasts.

After the data release, the NZD/USD dived from around 0.6340s, toward the 0.6300 figure, before extending its losses late in the New York session. In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a gauge that measures the buck’s value against six currencies, prints a new one-week high at around 102.153, up by 0.67%.

On the Fed speaker front, Minnesota’s Fed President Neil Kashkari held to his “hawkish” rhetoric, stating that inflation is coming down. Still, as it remains persistent, “We will have to keep at it for an extended period.”

Investors are also watching the discussions regarding the US debt ceiling, which did not progress as expected. US President Joe Biden would resume talks with US Congress leaders on Friday.

Upcoming events

The New Zealand economic docket will feature the Business Inflation Expectations for Q2, the Business PMI for April, and Visitor Arrivals. The US Trade of Balance and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment poll would be reported on the US agenda, alongside further Fed speaking.

NZD/USD Technical Levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6294
Today Daily Change -0.0073
Today Daily Change % -1.15
Today daily open 0.6367
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6217
Daily SMA50 0.6219
Daily SMA100 0.6279
Daily SMA200 0.6161
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6381
Previous Daily Low 0.6324
Previous Weekly High 0.6316
Previous Weekly Low 0.616
Previous Monthly High 0.6389
Previous Monthly Low 0.6111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6359
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6346
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6333
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.63
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6276
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6391
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6415
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6448

 

 

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