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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Follow-up bounce as bulls defend weekly lows at 0.6150

  • Investors should brace for a volatility contraction on Falling Wedge formation.
  • The kiwi bulls have defended the weekly lows at 0.6146 for the second time.
  • The antipodean is struggling to surpass the 20-period EMA at 0.6253.

The NZD/USD pair is oscillating in a narrow range of 0.6139-0.6158 in the Asian session. The kiwi bulls have defended the weekly lows at 0.6146 for the second time on Wednesday. Broadly, the asset has turned sideways and may display a volatility expansion on the availability of a potential trigger.

On an hourly scale, the formation of the Falling Wedge is indicating a lackluster performance by the major going forward. The upper portion of the chart pattern is placed from June 16 high at 0.6396 while the lower portion is plotted from June 14 low at 0.6196. Usually, the above-mentioned chart pattern leads to a bullish reversal after the upside break of the upper portion of the former.

The downward-sloping trendline placed from Monday’s high at 0.6253 will act as a major hurdle for the counter.

The antipodean is struggling to surpass the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6156, which signals that the short-term trend is still not lucrative for the kiwi bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is focusing surviving the attacks and holding the 40.00 mark to keep bulls alive.

A decisive move above Wednesday’s high at 0.6176 will drive the asset towards the round-level resistance at 0.6200, followed by June 22 low at 0.6244.

On the flip side, the greenback bulls could regain control if the major drop below Tuesday’s low at 0.6124. An occurrence of the same will drag the asset towards 25 May 2020 low at 0.6084. A violation of 0.6084 will expose the asset to more downside potential towards the psychological support of 0.6000.

NZD/USD hourly chart    

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.615
Today Daily Change -0.0025
Today Daily Change % -0.40
Today daily open 0.6175
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.629
Daily SMA50 0.6376
Daily SMA100 0.6598
Daily SMA200 0.6736
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6227
Previous Daily Low 0.6124
Previous Weekly High 0.6327
Previous Weekly Low 0.6148
Previous Monthly High 0.6576
Previous Monthly Low 0.6197
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6163
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6188
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6123
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6072
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.602
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6226
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6278
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6329

 

 

 

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