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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drops below $1,830 as uncertainty over Fed Powell’s testimony soars

  • Gold prices have extended their losses after slipping below the cushion of $1,830.00.
  • Fed Powell’s testimony is expected to be extremely hawkish considering the runaway inflation rate.
  • The EU is supposed to ban gold trading from Russia.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has extended its losses in the Asian session after violating the critical support of $1,830.00.  The precious metal was declining gradually earlier as investors were on the sidelines ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell’s testimony. Now, a decisive move below $1,830.00 has infused an adrenaline rush into the gold bears, which may drag the gold prices significantly lower.

Investors are hoping that Fed Powell is going to dictate an extremely hawkish stance on July monetary policy. The Fed has already elevated its interest rates to 1.50-1.75% in the last four months, however, the impact on the inflation mess is still not visible. This has supported the US dollar index (DXY), which is attempting to sustain above Tuesday’s high at 104.60.

On the global front, European Union (EU) Leaders Summit could ban imports or exports of gold or both from Russia after banning oil imports, as per Reuters. If that occurs, it may bring more uncertainty to the gold prices.

The monetary policy plans from various central banks are indicating hawkish guidance for the upcoming policies, which will keep the gold bulls on the tenterhooks.

Gold technical analysis

On an hourly scale, gold prices have displayed a downside break of the Descending Triangle, whose horizontal support is placed from $1,834.39 while the downward sloping trendline is plotted from Thursday’s high at $1,857.04. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,835.74 is declining, which adds to the downside filters. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into a bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which signals more downside ahead.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1826.32
Today Daily Change -6.64
Today Daily Change % -0.36
Today daily open 1832.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1845.55
Daily SMA50 1869.92
Daily SMA100 1891.21
Daily SMA200 1843.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1843.69
Previous Daily Low 1828.65
Previous Weekly High 1879.26
Previous Weekly Low 1805.11
Previous Monthly High 1909.83
Previous Monthly Low 1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1834.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1837.94
Daily Pivot Point S1 1826.51
Daily Pivot Point S2 1820.06
Daily Pivot Point S3 1811.47
Daily Pivot Point R1 1841.55
Daily Pivot Point R2 1850.14
Daily Pivot Point R3 1856.59

 

 

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