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Gold plummets to fresh YTD lows, remains vulnerable to slide further

   •  Wednesday’s not so dovish FOMC statement continues to weigh on the commodity.
   •  US-China trade optimism dents safe-haven demand and adds to the bearish pressure.
   •  A subdued USD price action does little to lend any support or stall the ongoing slide.

Gold finally broke down of its mid-European session trading range and tumbled further below $1270 level to refresh YTD lows in the last hour.

The precious metal extended overnight sharp intraday pullback from the $1287-88 supply zone and remained under some intense selling pressure for the second consecutive session on Thursday. This comes after the FOMC statement showed a more upbeat assessment of the economic developments and dampened prospects for any rate cut this year, which was seen driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.

This coupled with growing optimism over US-China trade negotiations, further fueled by reports that the world's two largest economies may announce a trade deal by next Friday, further weighed on the precious metal's safe-haven status. Meanwhile, a modest US Dollar uptick over the past hour or so further aggravated the pressure on the dollar-denominated commodity and collaborated to the ongoing bearish slide.

Today's sharp intraday decline could further be attributed to some follow-through technical selling, especially after the post-FOMC slide below the $1278-77 horizontal support and a subsequent break through the $1270 level. Hence, a follow-through weakness, amid some repositioning trade ahead of Friday's release of the closely watched US monthly jobs report (NFP), now looks a distinct possibility.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1267.9
Today Daily Change -8.09
Today Daily Change % -0.63
Today daily open 1275.99
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1285.08
Daily SMA50 1297.53
Daily SMA100 1293.27
Daily SMA200 1252.88
Levels
Previous Daily High 1287.18
Previous Daily Low 1273.5
Previous Weekly High 1288.75
Previous Weekly Low 1265.6
Previous Monthly High 1310.7
Previous Monthly Low 1265.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1278.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1281.96
Daily Pivot Point S1 1270.6
Daily Pivot Point S2 1265.21
Daily Pivot Point S3 1256.91
Daily Pivot Point R1 1284.28
Daily Pivot Point R2 1292.58
Daily Pivot Point R3 1297.97

 

 

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