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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Cable buyers run out of steam below 1.2600, UK employment, US inflation eyed

  • GBP/USD retreat from the highest level in a month, snaps three-day uptrend.
  • UK’s economic fears join US Dollar consolidation to push back Cable buyers.
  • Six-week-old horizontal resistance challenges Pound Sterling bulls amid overbought RSI.
  • Sellers need validation from 200-SMA to retake control.

GBP/USD holds lower ground near the intraday bottom as it prints the first daily loss in four amid early Monday in Europe, mildly offered near 1.2570 at the latest. That said, the Cable pair rose in the last two consecutive weeks amid a broad US Dollar fall but concerns about the UK’s economic health and the market’s positioning for this week’s key data/events weigh on the Pound Sterling pair of late.

Also read: GBP/USD holds steady near multi-week top as traders await this week's key data/event risks

Technically, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since late April, around 1.2580-85, joins the overbought RSI (14) line to favor the latest weakness in the Cable pair. Adding strength to the downside bias is the looming bear cross on the MACD indicator.

With this, the quote is likely to extend the latest fall towards a one-month-long horizontal support zone of around 1.2540-35. Though, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2480 could challenge the GBP/USD bears afterward.

In a case where the Pound Sterling pair remains weak past 1.2535, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the previous monthly low of around 1.2310 can’t be ruled out.

Meanwhile, a successful upside break of the aforementioned horizontal resistance area near 1.2580-85 needs validation from the 1.2600 round figure to convince GBP/USD bulls.

Following that, a run-up to cross the previous monthly high of 1.2680 can be expected without hesitation.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.2569
Today Daily Change -0.0011
Today Daily Change % -0.09%
Today daily open 1.258
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2443
Daily SMA50 1.2469
Daily SMA100 1.2309
Daily SMA200 1.2016
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.259
Previous Daily Low 1.2534
Previous Weekly High 1.259
Previous Weekly Low 1.2369
Previous Monthly High 1.268
Previous Monthly Low 1.2308
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2569
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2556
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2546
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2512
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.249
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2602
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2624
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2658

 

 

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