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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Another break lower could take cable close to 1.25

  • GBP/USD is trading 0.77% lower on Monday. 
  • The Feb extension and retracement match up at the 76.4% retracement.

GBP/USD 4-hour chart

GBP/USD has been selling off recently after the recent trendline retest. Elliott Wave analysts will be very interested in the Fib confluence lower down close to the 76.4% Fibonacci. At the moment the price is stalling at the wave low but if there is a break the targets lower down seem strong.

At the moment, the bulls have found support at 1.2760. Looking at the chart the red circle illustrates the point where the 200% and 76.4% meet. The thing that makes it stronger is the support level from the consolidation in mid-July. 

The indicators are also confirming the bearishness. The Relative Strength Index is just pulling away from the overbought zone. The MACD is giving the stronger signal as the histogram is firmly in the red and the signal lines have just crossed the mid level. 

This looks like a confirmation for a trend change to the downside. The key now is the break of the previous wave low at 1.2760 but keep an eye on the 61.8% retracement as it can sometimes be a sticky Fib zone.

Additional levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2816
Today Daily Change -0.0100
Today Daily Change % -0.77
Today daily open 1.2916
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3099
Daily SMA50 1.2999
Daily SMA100 1.2716
Daily SMA200 1.273
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3
Previous Daily Low 1.2915
Previous Weekly High 1.3007
Previous Weekly Low 1.2777
Previous Monthly High 1.3396
Previous Monthly Low 1.2982
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2947
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2967
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2887
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2858
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2802
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2972
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3029
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3057

 

 

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