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GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Bull’s target 164.00 on a morning star pattern in the daily chart

  • The GBP/JPY is registering gains of 2.03% in April as the end of the month looms.
  • Thursday’s Bank of Japan interest rate decision weighed on the JPY as the BoJ doubled down on stimulus, despite a worldwide high inflationary scenario.
  • GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bear’s failure to push the pair below 160.00 opened the door for further upside; further gains lie ahead.

The GBP/JPY stages a comeback but fails to reclaim 164.00 despite an upbeat market mood and a dovish Bank of Japan (BoJ), which kept rates unchanged and reiterated its accommodative stance on Thursday amidst a worldwide environment of elevated prices. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 163.01.

Asian equity futures have followed Wall Street’s mood, leading to a higher open. China’s coronavirus woes which tempered investors’ mood, appear to ease as Shanghai relaxed restrictions while the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues. Alongside global central bank tightening, those factors cloud an environment that could trigger a recession. On Thursday, the US Department of Commerce reported that the Q1’s GDP contracted by 1.4%.

Elsewhere, on Thursday’s session, the GBP/JPY opened near the open at around 161.00 and rallied on fundamental news that weighed on the JPY, lifting the pair towards 164.25, the daily high for a 300-pip gain. However, the GBP/JPY retreated and settled around the 163.00 mark.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/JPY remains upward biased after plummeting 800-pips in the week, though the 160.00 thresholds put a lid on the GBP/JPY fall. On Wednesday, the GBP/JPY bounced off those lows, helped by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shift from bearish to the bullish territory. Along with a morning star pattern (a three-candlestick formation), those factors could pave the way for further GBP/JPY gains.

The GBP/JPY’s first resistance would be the 164.00 mark. A break above would expose March’s 28 daily high at 164.65, followed by the figure at 165.00. Once cleared, GBP/JPY’s bear’s next challenge would be 166.00.

Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 163.01
Today Daily Change 1.98
Today Daily Change % 1.23
Today daily open 161.03
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 163.31
Daily SMA50 158.9
Daily SMA100 156.79
Daily SMA200 154.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 161.39
Previous Daily Low 159.64
Previous Weekly High 168.44
Previous Weekly Low 164.64
Previous Monthly High 164.64
Previous Monthly Low 150.99
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 160.72
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 160.31
Daily Pivot Point S1 159.98
Daily Pivot Point S2 158.94
Daily Pivot Point S3 158.23
Daily Pivot Point R1 161.73
Daily Pivot Point R2 162.44
Daily Pivot Point R3 163.48

 

 

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