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EUR/GBP lacks any firm direction, consolidates in a range below 100-day SMA

  • EUR/GBP seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses through the early part of the European session.
  • Bets for more ECB rate hikes amid upbeat Eurozone data underpin the Euro and lend some support.
  • Acceptance below the 100-day SMA warrants some caution before placing aggressive bullish bets.

The EUR/GBP cross struggles for a firm intraday direction on Tuesday and oscillates in a narrow trading band, just above the mid-0.8700s through the first half of the European session.

The Pound Sterling's  relative outperformance comes amid the upbeat report by the British Retail Consortium (BRC), which showed that like-for-like retail sales rose by 4.9% in March and the total retail spending increased by 5.1% YoY. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/GBP cross. That said, the recent mixed signals from the Bank of England (BoE) members over the next policy move hold back traders from placing aggressive bets.

Apart from this, a strong pickup in demand for the shared currency, bolstered by rising bets for additional rate hikes by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the better-than-expected data, is seen lending support to the EUR/GBP cross. In fact, the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence index improves from -11.1 in March to -8.7  in April against the -9.9 expected. Furthermore, the Current Situation Index rose for the sixth straight month, to -4.3 in April from the -9.3 previous.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop supports prospects for some meaningful upside for the EUR/GBP cross. That said, the recent breakdown and acceptance below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), along with the range-bound price action witnessed over the past week or so, warrants some caution for bullish traders. The focus now shifts to the BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's scheduled speeches on Wednesday and Thursday, which might provide a fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price 0.8771
Today Daily Change -0.0001
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 0.8772
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.8787
Daily SMA50 0.8832
Daily SMA100 0.8784
Daily SMA200 0.8699
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.8792
Previous Daily Low 0.8765
Previous Weekly High 0.8807
Previous Weekly Low 0.8729
Previous Monthly High 0.8925
Previous Monthly Low 0.8718
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8775
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8781
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.876
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8749
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8734
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8787
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8803
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8814

 

 

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