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AUD/USD turns a blind eye toward weak Aussie wage price inflation

  • AUD/USD sees little action even though key Aussie data missed estimates. 
  • The wage price index declined to 0.2% in the second quarter. 
  • Risk-on is likely helping the AUD avoid losses. 
  • Big gains look unlikely as US yields are rising. 

AUD/USD remains sidelined near 0.7145 following the release of the dismal Aussie wage-price inflation data. 

Wage price index, an indicator of labor cost inflation and of tightness in the labor market, rose 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in the April to June period, missing expectations for 0.3% rise following the first quarter’s 0.5% increase. 

The decline in wage-price inflation validates the Reserve Bank of Australia's dovish stance. The central bank’s recently released quarterly statement of monetary policy revealed that policymakers expect wage growth to remain subdued for some time. As such, household spending is likely to remain anemic. 

Even so, the AUD bears are staying on the sidelines, as the broader market sentiment has turned positive in the last 24 hours, courtesy of the positive coronavirus vaccine news, renewed hopes for an additional fiscal stimulus, and signs of stabilization in the virus cases in Australia’s Victoria state. 

However, big gains may remain elusive, as US yields are rising in the USD-positive manner. Notably, the 10-year yield jumped by most in over two months on Tuesday as investors sold bonds in anticipation of a surge in debt issuance by the US government and American corporations. A record $38 billion bond auction is due on Wednesday. 

In addition, gold, one of Australia’s top exports, fell by most in seven years on Tuesday, having recently rallied to a record high of $2,081. Also, the Reserve Bank of Australia is reportedly planning to boost the size of its bond purchases on Wednesday as a part of its yield curve control program. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7144
Today Daily Change 0.0001
Today Daily Change % 0.01
Today daily open 0.7143
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7123
Daily SMA50 0.7002
Daily SMA100 0.67
Daily SMA200 0.6708
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.719
Previous Daily Low 0.7134
Previous Weekly High 0.7244
Previous Weekly Low 0.7076
Previous Monthly High 0.7228
Previous Monthly Low 0.6876
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7155
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7169
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7121
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.71
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7065
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7177
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7212
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7233

 

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