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AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.6800 handle, focus shifts to US macro data

  • Speculation of a further RBA policy easing exerted some fresh downward pressure.
  • The recent positive trade-related developments failed to inspire the Aussie bulls.
  • Investors look forward to the US economic releases for some meaningful impetus.

The AUD/USD pair came under some renewed selling pressure on Wednesday and remained well within the striking distance of over one-month lows set earlier this week.

The pair failed to capitalize on the previous session's attempted recovery move, supported by positive trade rhetoric, and edged lower during the Asian session on Wednesday despite better-than-expected Aussie data.

Weighed down by renewed RBA easing speculations

According to the trend estimates, Australia's total Construction Work Done fell 0.4% during the third quarter of 2019 as against a drop of 1.0% expected and the previous quarter's upwardly revised reading of -2.8%.

However, the fact that the gauge marked the fifth straight quarterly decline reinforced prospects for a further monetary policy easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and exerted some fresh downward pressure.

This comes on the back of the recent trade news fatigue and turned out to be one of the key factors that weighed on the China-proxy Australian dollar despite improving global risk sentiment/the prevalent risk-on mood.

In the latest trade-related developments, the US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that we are in the final throes of a very important deal with China that would defuse a 16-month trade war.

Meanwhile, investors seemed hesitant to place any aggressive directional bets, rather preferred to wait on the sideline before the actual deal is signed, which might eventually lead a subdued/range-bound price action.

Moving ahead, Wednesday's US economic docket – highlighting the release of Durable Goods Orders and the second estimate of Q3 GDP growth figures – might influence the US dollar price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.678
Today Daily Change -0.0009
Today Daily Change % -0.13
Today daily open 0.6789
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6842
Daily SMA50 0.6807
Daily SMA100 0.6828
Daily SMA200 0.6928
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6796
Previous Daily Low 0.6768
Previous Weekly High 0.6835
Previous Weekly Low 0.678
Previous Monthly High 0.693
Previous Monthly Low 0.667
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6785
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6779
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6773
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6756
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6745
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.68
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6812
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6828

 

 

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