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AUD/USD recovers further from multi-week lows, climbs to 0.7315 region

  • The risk-on mood prompted some USD profit-taking and assisted AUD/USD to gain traction.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations should help limit the USD pullback and cap the upside for the pair.

The AUD/USD pair extended its steady intraday ascent through the early European session and climbed to fresh daily tops, around the 0.7315 region in the last hour.

The pair managed to gain some positive traction on the last trading day of the week and recovered a major part of the previous day's slump to three-week lows. The underlying bullish sentiment prompted some profit-taking around the safe-haven US dollar, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor that benefitted the perceived riskier aussie.

Apart from this, the uptick lacked any fundamental catalyst and runs the risk of fizzling out quickly amid expectations for an imminent Fed taper announcement. Despite worries about the fast-spreading Delta variants, the US Retail Sales report released on Thursday underscored consumer confidence and pointed to the continuation of economic recovery.

The data fueled speculations that the Fed would begin rolling back its massive crisis-era stimulus sooner than later. This should continue to act as a tailwind for the greenback and keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the AUD/USD pair. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further gains.

Market participants now look forward to the release of the Prelim Michigan US Consumer Sentiment Index, due later during the early North American session. The data could influence the USD and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair. Traders might further take cues from the broader market risk sentiment and produce some opportunities around the major.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7314
Today Daily Change 0.0027
Today Daily Change % 0.37
Today daily open 0.7287
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7325
Daily SMA50 0.735
Daily SMA100 0.7511
Daily SMA200 0.7606
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7348
Previous Daily Low 0.7274
Previous Weekly High 0.7469
Previous Weekly Low 0.7345
Previous Monthly High 0.7427
Previous Monthly Low 0.7106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7302
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7319
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7258
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7229
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7184
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7332
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7377
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7406

 

 

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