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AUD/USD pares weekly gains near 0.7300 as IMF, Evergrande and China poke bulls

  • AUD/USD snaps two-week downtrend, holds lower grounds on a day.
  • Optimism surrounding Evergrande, Fed and US stimulus backed the biggest daily jump in a month.
  • IMF cuts 2021 Aussie GDP forecast, China battles power problems as market awaits Evergrande coupon payment.
  • Light calendar may favor consolidation, news from Beijing, Fedspeak eyed.

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7300, teasing intraday low, amid early Friday.

The risk barometer jumped the most since late August the previous day to refresh the monthly peak, pushing the quote towards the first weekly gain in three. However, the latest moves have been sluggish of late.

While tracing the pullback, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) downgrade of Australia's GDP forecast for 2021 gains major attention. On the same line was the market’s anxiety as traders await Evergrande’s scheduled bond coupon payment. Furthermore, comments from China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) suggesting issues of rising raw material prices and power limits tame the AUD/USD bulls.

On the contrary were comments from Australia Treasury Josh Frydenberg who said, “significant  growth expected post-Delta.”

That said, the Fed’s rate hike and tapering signals, coupled with Chinese help to Evergrande and progress over the US $3.5 trillion stimulus talks favored the market sentiment, as well as AUD/USD prices on Thursday.

Against this backdrop, the US 10-year Treasury yields refresh 11-week top to 1.43%, following the heaviest daily jump since February. Further, the S&P 500 Futures rise 0.15% intraday during the three-day rebound at the latest.

Moving on, a slew of Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers, including Chairman Jerome Powell, are slated for speeches during Friday, likely making the dull active going forward. Also important is the US New Home Sales for August, expected 0.7M versus 0.708M prior, as well as headlines relating to China’s embattled real-estate firm and US stimulus.

Technical analysis

AUD/USD bulls need validation from 50-DMA, near 0.7330, to extend the 13-day-old trend line breakout, around 0.7250 by the press time.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.7296
Today Daily Change 0.0002
Today Daily Change % 0.03%
Today daily open 0.7294
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7334
Daily SMA50 0.7329
Daily SMA100 0.7487
Daily SMA200 0.7599
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7316
Previous Daily Low 0.7222
Previous Weekly High 0.7377
Previous Weekly Low 0.7262
Previous Monthly High 0.7427
Previous Monthly Low 0.7106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.728
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7258
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7239
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7183
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7145
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7333
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7371
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7427

 

 

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