AUD/USD faces delicate resistance near 0.6500 as focus shifts to RBA policy
|- AUD/USD finds nominal selling pressure near 0.6500 while more upside remains favored.
- Soft US core PCE inflation data dragged the 10-year US Treasury yields to 4.5%.
- The RBA is expected to keep interest rates unchanged but the interest rate peak is seen at 4.35% by the year-end.
The AUD/USD pair rallied to near the psychological resistance of 0.6500 but struggled to extend further as the US Dollar Index (DXY) discovered buying interest after correcting to near 105.66.
The S&P500 opens on a bullish note as the market mood turns cheerful. The appeal for the risk-sensitive assets improved as investors started digesting fears of a global slowdown due to higher interest rates by central bankers. The 10-year US Treasury yields dropped sharply to 4.51% after soft United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index data for August.
Monthly core PCE expanded at a nominal pace of 0.1% in August against expectations and the former release of 0.2%. The annualized PCE has softened to 3.9% as expected from the former release of 4.3%. This may buy some more time for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to assess the impact of the interest rate hikes till made.
Going forward, investors will focus on the US Manufacturing PMI report for September to be released by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) agency. As per the expectations, the Manufacturing PMI is expected to contract consecutively for the 11th month. A figure below the 50.0 threshold is considered as contraction in economic activities. The economic data is seen improving to 47.8 vs. 47.6 reading from August.
On the Australian Dollar front, investors await the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which will be announced on Tuesday. The RBA is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.10% but economists see the interest rate peak at 4.35% by the year-end, according to a Reuters poll.
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