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AUD/USD clings to modest daily gains around 0.7530

  • AUD/USD stays relatively calm following Friday's strong rebound.
  • Retail Sales in Australia rose more than expected in May.
  • US Dollar Index stays in the negative territory above 92.00.

The AUD/USD pair rose sharply on Friday as the greenback came under strong bearish pressure following the June jobs report. After gaining more than 50 pips, the pair continued to edge higher on Monday and was last seen trading at 0.7533, where it was up 0.1% on a daily basis.

Focus shifts to RBA meeting

Earlier in the day, the data from Australia showed that the Commonwealth Bank Services PMI improved modestly to 56.8 in June. Moreover, Retail Sales rose by 0.4% on a monthly basis in May, surpassing the market expectation for an increase of 0.1%. These upbeat figures seem to have provided a boost to the AUD during the Asian trading hours.

On the other hand, the USD stays on the back foot at the start of the week, helping AUD/USD remain afloat in the positive territory. Currently, the US Dollar Index is down 0.1% on the day at 92.15.

There won't be any high-tier macroeconomic data releases from the US in the remainder of the day and AUD/USD is expected to fluctuate in a narrow consolidation channel.

On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its INterest Rate Decision and release the Rate Statement. 

Previewing the RBA meeting, "we now expect the RBA will moderately taper its QE program by announcing a further AUD75bn program once the current AUD100bn tranche of buying ends in September," said Lee Sue Ann, Economist at UOB Group.

RBA: Probable tapering on the table? – UOB.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7533
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 0.7528
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7607
Daily SMA50 0.7697
Daily SMA100 0.7709
Daily SMA200 0.7571
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7535
Previous Daily Low 0.7445
Previous Weekly High 0.7603
Previous Weekly Low 0.7445
Previous Monthly High 0.7794
Previous Monthly Low 0.7477
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7501
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7479
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.747
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7413
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.738
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.756
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7593
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.765

 

 

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