Ripple Price Prediction: XRP downtrend targets $1.80 amid muted trading activity
|- XRP upside price action muted by low market activity, trader indecision and a cautious Fed.
- Ripple urges the UK to prioritize a growth-driven regulatory framework, advance stablecoin adoption and tackle tokenization barriers.
- XRP’s future could be decided by two key levels: The 200-day EMA at $2.09 support and the confluence resistance at $2.24.
Ripple (XRP) has upheld a technical bearish picture, trading at around $2.15 at the time of writing on Thursday. The subdued price action mirrors a quiet sentiment and the lack of conviction in the broader cryptocurrency market to sustain recovery. This lukewarm trading overshadowed key adoption news on the launch of XRP spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in Canada on Wednesday.
Interest in cryptocurrencies, including XRP, is largely constrained despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) leaving interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25% to 4.50% and meeting market expectations. However, the central bank portrayed a hawkish stance, citing potential short-term inflation resulting from tariffs as a key catalyst.
Ripple calls on the UK to advance stablecoin adoption
Ripple believes that the opportunity for the United Kingdom (UK) to become a “world leader in digital assets” is enormous. However, the only way to achieve this is by developing a regulatory framework that facilitates innovation and enhances inclusion.
In a blog post published on Wednesday, Ripple said that it urged the UK government to prioritize clear regulatory frameworks, especially for institutional cryptocurrencies, during the London Policy Summit earlier this year.
The government should move quickly on stablecoin regulation, which will support interoperability with international players. Ripple commended the UK’s proposal to permit foreign-issued stablecoins to circulate, cementing the country as an international financial hub.
The company added that the UK Government and its regulators are making steps toward tokenization standards, which have the potential to “transform the financial markets of the future.”
“With more stablecoin use cases being proven, and tokenised financial assets gaining traction in traditional finance, the UK’s regulatory landscape must evolve now to capitalise on this opportunity and seize the moment to further cement itself as a leader in global finance,” Ripple stated.
The urge for the UK to hasten digital asset-focused regulations comes amid the advancement of the Guidance and Establishing Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) bill from the United States (US) Senate to the House.
Technical outlook: XRP trades sideways
XRP’s price is trading broadly sideways between support provided by the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.09 and a confluence of resistance at $2.24, where the 50-day EMA and the 100-day EMA converge.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has been sliding below the midline, has maintained a bearish bias since its previous peak near overbought territory in mid-May. A continued decline toward oversold areas could keep the path of least resistance downward.
Liquidity at the 200-day EMA support ($2.09) will likely lead to a trend reversal. However, traders cannot rule out the possibility of a prolonged drop to the next support level at $1.80, which was tested in early April.
XRP/USDT daily chart
On the contrary, recovery above the confluence resistance at $2.24 would bring the price of XRP close to the descending trendline resistance, as shown in the chart above. A potential break above this trendline could see interest in XRP return, elevating the bullish scope to $2.65, a hurdle tested in June, and $3.00, which was last tested in March as resistance.
Cryptocurrency metrics FAQs
The developer or creator of each cryptocurrency decides on the total number of tokens that can be minted or issued. Only a certain number of these assets can be minted by mining, staking or other mechanisms. This is defined by the algorithm of the underlying blockchain technology. On the other hand, circulating supply can also be decreased via actions such as burning tokens, or mistakenly sending assets to addresses of other incompatible blockchains.
Market capitalization is the result of multiplying the circulating supply of a certain asset by the asset’s current market value.
Trading volume refers to the total number of tokens for a specific asset that has been transacted or exchanged between buyers and sellers within set trading hours, for example, 24 hours. It is used to gauge market sentiment, this metric combines all volumes on centralized exchanges and decentralized exchanges. Increasing trading volume often denotes the demand for a certain asset as more people are buying and selling the cryptocurrency.
Funding rates are a concept designed to encourage traders to take positions and ensure perpetual contract prices match spot markets. It defines a mechanism by exchanges to ensure that future prices and index prices periodic payments regularly converge. When the funding rate is positive, the price of the perpetual contract is higher than the mark price. This means traders who are bullish and have opened long positions pay traders who are in short positions. On the other hand, a negative funding rate means perpetual prices are below the mark price, and hence traders with short positions pay traders who have opened long positions.
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