SP500 "A few weeks of tension"

SP500

The last Primary cycle low was February 9^th. The standard for the Primary cycle is 18 weeks. This was late at the 23th week but this may be distorted as there are other longer-term cycles due. This may have been the 9-month cycle trough as well. Longer term cycles often push the Primary cycle further out or shorter than the norm.

This puts us entering the 10^th weeks in a new Primary cycle. We may have seen the nominal 6^th week trough on April 2nd remembering we could get a 9 – 9 ½ week cycle instead. The 6 and  9 ½ are sub cycles of the Primary cycle. The move down on April 2nd could be the nominal 6 week cycle trough. If so, this Primary cycle may be unfolding as a 3 pass.

The current 4 year cycle for the SP500 started on Feb 11, 2016. We should be looking for a 15.5 month cycle low. There are typically 3 - 15.5 month cycles in the 4 year cycles.

The 4 year may have 3 -15.5 month cycles and / or 2 - 23 month cycles (a half cycle).

For the SP500

The following weekly chart of the SP500 shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the ½ cycle of 23 months (red).

For the DJIA

The following weekly chart of the DJIA shows the 4 year cycle (blue) and the 15.5 month (red). There are approx.. 3 - 15.5 month in the Primary cycle.

The Primary cycle that started on Feb 9^th may form an ending trough near the week of

May or June.

I’m looking for a low in May or mid-June, probably May.

The last couple of blog post had the Mercury retrograde dates and possible turns.

Those dates were:

Mercury Retrograde   March 22

Inferior Conjunction    April 1st  (watch April 2)

Mercury Direct            April 15^th (watch April 16)

 

There is one more date, May 3. This is the date Mercury returns to the place it went retrograde.

Before we review the meaningful Astrological aspect and events we should look at the medium term. Starting now be prepared for more serious events from now through June 2018. These should be violent, possibly war-like events in the mid-East and events involving Russia and China. This may involve Syria and quite possibly other war like activity in Pakistan and India.

Watch the dates around April 20 +- a few days for unplanned war like activity. Unplanned from a normal citizens point of view. Hot spots could be Syria, Iran, Pakistan and India. North Korea seems to be much quieter than in 2017 and early 2018.

Another interesting date may be May 14.

May 14 1948 was the "Declaration of the Establishment of the State of Israel"

May 14, 2018 is 70 years from May 14, 1948. 70 years is a recurring bible cycle. I’m no expert in Bible studies.

The key Astro activity over the next couple of weeks include three planets changing direction. This often creates a climate of confusion and change.

April 15           Mercury turning to Direct motion

New Moon

                        This may mark a change in the general market trend.

April 17^th         Saturn turning Retrograde

                        Watch for further geophysical events in mid April.

                        This retrograde relates to contraction, caution, fear and pessimism

                        This may reverse a short term move up.

                        Heliocentric Mercury will be in Sagittarius from April 17 to April 27.

                        Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius can be beneficial for Gold

 

April 22           Pluto Retrograde.

                        Often at the time of a major reversal in the US market.

 

April  23          Mars conjunct Vesta (heliocentric)

                        Often is a reversal of a short term move up.

 

April 25           Mercury square Saturn

                        Depressing thought, communication and problems with short term moves.

 

April 26           Mars conjunct Pluto

While Mars is the planet of aggression and war, Pluto rules the principle of power to break things down and then rebuild. There is also a possible problem with destruction and loss.

The 15 day sma on the SP500 chart is moving down. The 15 day sma is also below the 45 day sma which is also rolling over. Price is above the15 and below the 45 day sma. This is a negative setup. We will be starting the retrograde and direct Planet movement this week.

Some of the cycles that are coming due are:

• The Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week) on Feb 9^th.
• 9 month cycle
• 9 year
• 5 week.

The Primary Cycles

If the SP500 is retesting the Feb 9^th low and moves lower we may see a more dramatic move over the next few weeks as suggested above. War like activity is going to have a negative effect of stocks but probably a beneficial effect on precious metals.

I’m looking for a more dramatic move in mid-July where we have Pluto conjunct the helio nodes of Pluto. This is the second of a 3-pass. This is also getting close to a lunar and solar eclipses.

On a shorter term basis I track a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle which will be due April 26.

9 Year Cycle

As an example of the DJIA following is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones and the 9 year cycle. As we’ve said many times longer term coming due often distorts the faster moving cycles.

The 9 month cycle

The above chart shows the 9 month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have formed in late January. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines). Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles.

 

The 3.8 – 4 Year

The above weekly chart of the SP500 shows the synodic cycle for Mars and Vesta. The red circles are the conjunction of the two and the green double arrows are the middle of the cycle. These are the heliocentric aspects (Sun centered).

Note how the conjunction is often at a top with a quick decline. The next Mars / Vesta conjunction is April 23, 2018. If we start to move up into that date it may indicate a turn down.

From the last few posts:

“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”

Following are the significant earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.

Jan 23             Alaska                         7.9

Jan 10             Honduras                    7.5

Jan 14             Peru                            7.1

Jan 19             Mexico                        6.3

Jan 21             Chile                            6.3

Jan 25             Russia                         6.2

Feb 16             Mexico                        7.2

Feb 25             Papua New Guinea    7.5

Mar 6               Papua New Guinea    6.7

Mar 8               Papua New Guinea    6.8

Mar 24             Papua New Guinea    6.3

Mar 24             Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3

Mar 25             Indonesia                     6.4

Mar 26             Papua New Guinea    6.6

Mar 29             Papua New Guinea    6.9

Apr 2               Bolivia                         6.8

Apr 7               Papua New Guinea    6.3

Apr 10             Chile                            6.2

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now, the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles.

 

In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system problems or changes. Uranus will go retrograde and then move backward into Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies and rates.

Generally speaking the next couple of months of 2018 should be volatile. I am expecting more  earthquakes and other geophysical activity.

The above combination, with Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population, particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun could affect the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years. Other conditions this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in general. State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to metals and mining.

The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.

 

There could be some type of surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these price lines have a history of providing support and resistance.

When the two lines cross we often see a big range day or reversal. Note how price went down and stopped on the Sun / Earth Price Line. There was a another big range day on April 6^th.

 

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).

The last hit was March 29, 2018 and was a big range day. The next dates are May 14, 2018 then June 27^th. I have added 3 price lines to this chart.

• Saturn – black
• Uranus – purple
• Neptune - light blue

Note the date, Feb 9^th, 2018 was the day of the low and a big range day.

These price lines can act as support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it has been strong resistance to price but has broken through. It should act as strong support when the market turns down.