Silver slumps as China slows: Economic data and Fed decisions in focus
|Silver prices struggle amid China's economic slowdown, Asia's lethargic demand, and a relatively strong US dollar. Investors await key economic data to gauge future market movements, with potential Fed rate cuts and geopolitical tensions further influencing Silver and Gold demand.
Silver Slides as China Slows
Silver prices have been under downward pressure for the fifth consecutive day as worries about China's economic slowdown amplify concerns regarding the country's demand for Silver for industrial purposes. The relatively strong dollar undeniably makes Silver more expensive for foreign buyers, so the monetary policies, particularly those established by major central banks such as the US Federal Reserve, can impact Silver prices. Low interest rates typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like Silver, making it more appealing to investors. A rate cut by the Fed could boost demand for Silver. Moreover, in times of geopolitical tensions, Silver may serve as a safe haven, further enhancing its investment appeal.
Potential Downtrend Looms with Lower Price Targets
Silver is currently trading below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average and is approaching the key support level of 28.566. A decisive breach of this level could initiate a downtrend, resulting in further reductions in prices. Potential downside technical targets are estimated at 26.582, 25.760, and 23.370, respectively.
Presidential Race
President Joe Biden's announcement to not seek re-election in the 2024 presidential election has caused significant market uncertainty. Investors, who typically prefer stable conditions, are now taking a more cautious stance towards higher-risk investments. While Silver usually benefits during times of uncertainty due to its safe-haven status, its industrial demand remains weak, especially in China.
If Kamala Harris is perceived as a weaker contender against Trump, this could diminish market confidence and influence investment strategies, potentially causing volatility in silver prices.
Investors Eye Key Economic Data
Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming economic updates this week, particularly focusing on the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data scheduled for release on Friday. This data, along with other indicators such as existing home sales and advance second-quarter GDP, will offer important perspectives into the possible direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary strategy, influencing investors' decisions.
The combination of potential rate cuts, political uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, is likely to benefit Silver and Gold prices in the coming months. However, for the moment, the lower demand for industrial Silver in China and Asia outweighs its safe-haven nature.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Silver prices continue to face downward pressure due to China's economic slowdown and the strong US dollar. Investors are closely watching upcoming economic data to anticipate the Federal Reserve's next moves, which could influence Silver's appeal. While potential rate cuts and geopolitical tensions may support Silver and Gold prices in the future, current industrial demand weaknesses in China and Asia overshadow Silver's safe haven status.
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