GBP/USD Forecast: Buyers eye a break above 1.2440

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  • GBP/USD edges higher after finding support at 1.2400.
  • Near-term technical outlook points to a bullish tilt.
  • A four-hour close above 1.2440 could attract bulls.

GBP/USD gathered bullish momentum in the European morning and climbed toward mid-1.2400s. The pair faces strong resistance at 1.2440 and it could stretch higher once that level is confirmed as support.

Although GBP/USD dropped below 1.2400 for the third straight day on Wednesday, it quickly reclaimed that level, with the US Dollar (USD) struggling to preserve its strength. The pair's recent rebound, however, looks to be fuelled by a technical reaction amid a lack of fundamental drivers.

In the second half of the day, the US Census Bureau will release the Goods Trade Balance data for April. The Federal Reserve's Consumer Credit Change data will also be featured in the US economic docket. Nevertheless, market participants are unlikely to base their positions on these figures ahead of next week's all-important inflation report and FOMC policy meeting.

Hence, markets' risk perception and technical developments could continue to affect GBP/USD's movements during the American trading hours.

At the time of writing, US stock index futures trade virtually unchanged on the day following the modest decline seen in the Asian session. In case Wall Street's main indexes open in positive territory and push north, GBP/USD could extend its rebound and vice versa.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD was last seen trading near 1.2440, where the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level of the latest downtrend is located. If the pair starts using that level as support, it could target 1.2480 (200-period SMA, Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.2500 (psychological level) next.

On the downside, 1.2420 (100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), 50-period SMA, ascending trend line) aligns as first support before 1.2400 (psychological level) and 1.2360 (static level).

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the four-hour chart rose slightly above 50, reflecting the bullish tilt in the short-term outlook.

  • GBP/USD edges higher after finding support at 1.2400.
  • Near-term technical outlook points to a bullish tilt.
  • A four-hour close above 1.2440 could attract bulls.

GBP/USD gathered bullish momentum in the European morning and climbed toward mid-1.2400s. The pair faces strong resistance at 1.2440 and it could stretch higher once that level is confirmed as support.

Although GBP/USD dropped below 1.2400 for the third straight day on Wednesday, it quickly reclaimed that level, with the US Dollar (USD) struggling to preserve its strength. The pair's recent rebound, however, looks to be fuelled by a technical reaction amid a lack of fundamental drivers.

In the second half of the day, the US Census Bureau will release the Goods Trade Balance data for April. The Federal Reserve's Consumer Credit Change data will also be featured in the US economic docket. Nevertheless, market participants are unlikely to base their positions on these figures ahead of next week's all-important inflation report and FOMC policy meeting.

Hence, markets' risk perception and technical developments could continue to affect GBP/USD's movements during the American trading hours.

At the time of writing, US stock index futures trade virtually unchanged on the day following the modest decline seen in the Asian session. In case Wall Street's main indexes open in positive territory and push north, GBP/USD could extend its rebound and vice versa.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD was last seen trading near 1.2440, where the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level of the latest downtrend is located. If the pair starts using that level as support, it could target 1.2480 (200-period SMA, Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.2500 (psychological level) next.

On the downside, 1.2420 (100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), 50-period SMA, ascending trend line) aligns as first support before 1.2400 (psychological level) and 1.2360 (static level).

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the four-hour chart rose slightly above 50, reflecting the bullish tilt in the short-term outlook.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.


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