Analysis

EURUSD: Choppy trading

EUR/USD

Choppy trading.

  • EUR/USD has reversed course. Hourly support can be found at 1.0703 (20/04/2017 base) then 1.0576 (11.04.2017 low). Stronger support can be found at 1.0494 (22/02/2017 low). Key resistance stands at 1.0776 (20/04/2017 high) then 1.0906 (27/03/2017 high).

  • In the longer term, the death cross late October indicated a further bearish bias. The pair has broken key support given at 1.0458 (16/03/2015 low). Key resistance holds at 1.1714 (24/08/2015 high). Expected to head towards parity.

 

GBP/USD

Consolidation.

  • GBP/USD has pause after sharp bullish rally. Resistance stands at 1.2953. Monitor the hourly support at 1.2775 (intraday base) as a break would confirm a weakening short-term bullish momentum. Hourly resistance is located at 1.2905 (18/04/2017 reaction high).

  • The long-term technical pattern is even more negative since the Brexit vote has paved the way for further decline. Long-term support given at 1.0520 (01/03/85) represents a decent target. Long-term resistance is given at 1.5018 (24/06/2015) and would indicate a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.

 

USD/JPY

Grinding higher.

  • USD/JPY has drifted higher. Hourly resistance stands at 109.10 (18/04/2017 high). Other resistance can be found at 110.11, while a key resistance stands at 112.20 (31/03/2017 high). Next support can be located at 108.22 (17/04/2017 low). Other key supports lie at a distant 106.04 (11/11/2016 low).

  • We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 96.57 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) seems absolutely unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).

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