Analysis

Bitcoin narrative goes from safe to shaky on Binance news [Video]

Recovery in bank stocks improved market sentiment on Monday.

Calm, and rally in bank stocks yesterday stabilized the market mood. Gold tipped a toe below $1950 per ounce, while the US 2-year yield flirted with the 4% mark – on bet that if the bank crisis is over, we could go back to our lives and worrying about inflation, again.

The S&P500 closed 0.17% up, while the rate-sensitive Nasdaq fell 0.74%. Of course, if the banking stress further eases, we should see sovereign yields recover a part of the recent retreat.

Yet, the pricing of recession is now in play, and equity markets, which have been relatively resilient to the bank stress – partly due to higher liquidity injected in the market to deal with it, remain vulnerable – as earnings estimates will more likely than not revised lower in the foreseeable future.

In energy, crude oil jumped past the $70pb level on bank relief and a legal problem in Turkish export port.

In cryptocurrencies, the narrative switched from Bitcoin being a safe haven in the context of bank crisis to being on a shaky ground due to Binance trouble with CFTC.

 

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