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WTI Price Analysis: Oil falls back below 200-day SMA

  • WTI flips the 200-day SMA into support after rejection at $41.28. 
  • A close below Thursday's low may invite more substantial chart-driven selling. 

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the North American oil benchmark, is trading below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $41.10.

The long-term average was breached on Thursday. However, the selling pressure ran out of steam at $40.22, and prices bounced back to levels above $41 early Friday only to turn lower again.

The black gold created a candle with a long lower wick on Thursday, aborting the immediate bearish view put forward by the downside break of an ascending trendline confirmed earlier this week

The focus now is on Friday's close. Acceptance below Thursday's low of $40.22 would revive the immediate bearish view and expose support at $38.72 (July 30 low). 

On the other hand, a close above Thursday's high of $41.79 would confirm reversal higher and allow a re-test of 43.78 (Aug. 26 high). 

Daily chart

Trend: Neutral

Technical levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price 40.90
Today Daily Change -0.36
Today Daily Change % -0.87
Today daily open 41.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 42.63
Daily SMA50 41.52
Daily SMA100 36.01
Daily SMA200 41.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 41.99
Previous Daily Low 40.45
Previous Weekly High 43.86
Previous Weekly Low 42.3
Previous Monthly High 43.86
Previous Monthly Low 39.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 41.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 41.4
Daily Pivot Point S1 40.61
Daily Pivot Point S2 39.76
Daily Pivot Point S3 39.07
Daily Pivot Point R1 42.16
Daily Pivot Point R2 42.85
Daily Pivot Point R3 43.71

 

 

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