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USD/ZAR Price Analysis: Rises 0.30%, gains could be short-lived

  • USD/ZAR looks south with a range breakdown on the daily chart. 
  • Key indicators favor a test of deeper support levels. 

USD/ZAR is trading at 17.1773 at press time, representing a 0.30% gain on the day. 

The bounce could be short-lived, as the daily chart studies are reporting bearish conditions. To start with, Thursday's 1.34% decline, the biggest single-day decline since May 21, confirmed a downside break of the narrow trading range of 17.1670-17.50. 

The range breakdown suggests the bounce from the June 10 low of 16.3204 has ended and the bears have regained control. In addition, the 14-day relative strength index is hovering in bearish territory below 50 and the MACD histogram is beginning to chart lower bars above the zero line, a sign of weakening of upward momentum. 

The pair risks falling to the psychological support of 17.00, which, if breached, would shift the focus to 16.3204. A close above Thursday's high of 17.5303 is needed to restore the bullish view. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

 

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